Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/22/24

The Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line for Thursday’s matchup vs. the Astros, with their odds sitting at -162 compared to the Astros at +137. This one has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and it will be televised on FOX starting at 7:08 PM ET.

Thursday’s forecast in Baltimore is 77 degrees with a clear sky. Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, and he will be facing off against a Astros club that is 68-58 and has Spencer Arrighetti on the mound. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are first in the AL West.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -162

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:08 ET on Thursday, August 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Red Sox scored one run in the top of the first.

Justin Verlander had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.

The Astros head into today’s road matchup vs. the Orioles having dropped two straight games, and they are 68-58 overall this season. Houston leads the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a loss and are 7-3 across their last 10 games.

As the road team, the Astros have won eight straight games, and they are 33-29 on the road this season. So far, they are 52-42 when favored and an even 16-16 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 23-17-1 and have won three straight series on the road.

The Astros are 34-28 vs. the run line on the road this season. Their average run differential in road games is +0.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their combined season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Astros have played 41 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 16-25.

Houston is sending right-hander Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Arrighetti has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-11 with a 5.21 ERA. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Arrighetti took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .245 off Arrighetti this season, and he is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Yordan Alvarez has been a huge power threat for the Astros this season, as his 25 home runs are the best on the team and 12th in the league. He is also batting .307, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Yainer Diaz has also been a big power threat, as he is batting .304 with 15 homers. Over his last nine games, he has gone 13/37 with four homers and eight RBIs.

Jose Altuve comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak and is batting .300 for the season. He has 16 homers and 53 RBIs, which are both 4th best on the team. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team in homers, with 20, but is batting just .261.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Mets scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. Baltimore was the +121 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Cole Irvin had a rough start for the Orioles, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Austin Slater had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Orioles scored their other two runs in the 6th inning.

Baltimore is 74-54 overall and is just a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles will host the Astros today, and they are 37-28 at home this season. On the road, the Orioles are 37-26 this season. In the AL East, the Orioles have gone 28-15 in divisional games.

So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 61-41, and they are 34-25 as the favorite at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 23-12-6, but they did drop their most recent series vs. the Mets. Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are just 4-6 over their last 10.

When betting on the Orioles’ run line this season, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road. They’ve covered the run line in 39 of 63 road games, compared to just 32 of 65 games at home. They’ve been a favorite in 102 games, covering the run line in 52 of them. They’ve been an underdog in 26 games, covering the run line in 19 of them.

When the Baltimore Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. Overall, the Orioles’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-49. In games where the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit 21 times and the under has hit 16 times.

Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he got the start and the loss in that game. Against the Red Sox, he gave up 8 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Burnes has allowed at least one homer in each of those starts. Before the outing vs. the Red Sox, he had given up just one homer in his previous three starts. Burnes’ ERA for the season is 3.10, and he has a record of 12-5. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.11 and has made 19 quality starts this year.

Not only do the Orioles lead the MLB in home runs, but they are also one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 5 runs per game. Baltimore’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Orioles are batting .254, which is 5th best in the league.

Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .287 and is 2nd on the team with 78 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 37 homers. However, he is batting just .237 for the season.