Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24
The Phillies and Braves are set to face off in an NL East matchup at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta. The money line odds have the Phillies at +100 compared to the Braves at -119. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Wednesday’s matchup features Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Max Fried for the Braves. Nola is 73-52 on the season, while the Braves have won three straight to move to 67-58. Atlanta is currently 2nd in the NL East, while the Phillies are 1st.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +100
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Atlanta picked up a 3-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Braves offense only had seven hits but took advantage of some Phillies miscues, as they scored three unearned runs in the 1st and the Phillies could only muster one run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +132 on the money line.
Reynaldo Lopez started for the Braves and went five innings while giving up just one run and striking out 10. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Zack Wheeler had a good outing for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Marcell Ozuna, Whit Merrifield, and Alec Bohm each had two hits for their respective teams. Ozuna and Merrifield each scored a run and drove in a run for the Braves’ offense.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is currently 73-52 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They hold a six-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, which includes losing the first game of this series vs. the Braves.
So far, the Phillies have gone 19-13 in divisional games. At home, they are 42-23 compared to 31-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 62-40 this year, and they are 11-12 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 21-14-6 this year. They are also 21-19 when favored on the road.
When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a bit of a coin flip this season as they are 61-64 overall. They have been a better bet at home than on the road, going 31-34 at Citizens Bank Park compared to 30-30 on the road. The Phillies have lost four straight on the run line on the road and are 2-6 in their last eight games as the run line favorite.
The Phillies have played in 93 games with an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 58-61, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 17-14-1. Overall, 61 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 48.8% of their contests.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and not giving up a run to the Nationals. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola’s ERA on the road is 4.57 compared to 3.49 at home.
Over the past 10 games, Alec Bohm has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 12/38 with one home run and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in RBIs, as he has 85 for the season. Bohm is also 3rd on the team with a batting average of .298. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are the Phillies’ top power threats, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Harper’s 26 long balls not far behind.
As a team, the Phillies are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and have the 7th ranked slugging percentage in the MLB.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 67-58, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta has gone 19-16 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10.
At home, the Braves are 33-26 this season and 34-32 on the road. So far, the Braves have been the favorite in 103 of their games, and they are 57-46 in those games. As the underdog, the Braves are 10-12 this year, which includes a 1-1 mark as the home underdog.
The Braves are 57-68 against the run line this season, including a 24-35 mark at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.1 runs per game at home. As the favorite, they are 45-58 against the run line, while they are 12-10 as the underdog.
The Braves have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 47-73, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 7-13-1. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 8 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Phillies. In that start, which came on August 15th, Fried took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Fried has given up at least three earned runs in each. Fried’s record for the season is 7-7, and he has an ERA of 3.62. This year, opponents are batting .229 vs. Fried. He has made 21 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.25.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 15/35 in his last nine games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .309 with 37 homers and 94 RBIs, which is 4th in the league. Ozuna also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .228.
As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Their team batting average is just 13th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Overall, they are 10th in slugging percentage and have the 6th best isolated power mark in the league.