Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24
The forecast from St. Louis on Wednesday calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 7:45 PM ET. FS1 will be televising this NL Central matchup.
The Brewers are the current leaders in the NL Central with a record of 73-52, while the Cardinals are 3rd in the division at 61-64. Milwaukee is on a six-game winning streak, and the money line odds have them at -107 compared to the Cardinals at -111. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers for the Brewers.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -111
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Cardinals series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as +102 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Brewers had a chance to add some insurance runs in the 8th but could only muster one run, and the Cardinals went down quietly in the 9th.
Frankie Montas started for the Brewers and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one hit. On the other side, Erick Fedde got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s offense was led by William Contreras, who went 3/4 with an RBI. Sal Frelick also had a two-hit game and scored a run for the Brewers. Matt Carpenter hit the game’s only home run for the Cardinals, going 1/1 with two RBIs.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is currently on a six-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 73-52. The Brewers hold an 11.5 game lead over the Cubs in the division. So far, they have gone 26-14 against other teams in the NL Central.
The Brewers have been good at home this year, going 38-24, and they have gone 35-28 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 40-28 this year and 33-24 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 21-14-4, and they are coming off a win in the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals.
When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line with a record of 36-27. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game away from home. As the underdog, they have been especially profitable with a run line record of 39-18.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-52. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-8, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. Overall, 74.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a streak of three consecutive games going under the total.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Myers has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.81. In his 18 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recent outing came on August 15th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed a run in two straight starts. Myers’ ERA on the road is 2.89 compared to 3.47 at home.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and are batting a collective .254, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB. Milwaukee’s team on-base percentage of .331 is 3rd in the league.
Willy Adames and William Contreras have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames is 8th in the league with 22 homers, and Contreras is 3rd on the team with 17 homers. Adames also leads the team with 85 RBIs. Contreras has been hot of late, batting .321 over his last eight games and has four homers in that stretch. Garrett Mitchell comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak.
Cardinals Records & Stats
With a record of 61-64, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 12 games. Overall, they are 17-23 against other teams in their division. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Brewers.
St. Louis has really struggled recently, going just 2-8 over their last 10 games. At home, the Cardinals are 32-30 compared to 29-34 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 64 of their games, and they are 31-33 in those contests.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet this season, going 60-65 overall. They are 30-32 against the run line at home and 30-33 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 40-21 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in games they cover the run line is +2.7 runs per game.
St. Louis has played to the under in three straight games, and the under has been a common trend in their games this season, with a 60-62 over/under record. The O/U line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 7.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. The O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs for just 4 of their games this season, and their record in those games is 8-18.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers at home. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 4.26 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .250 this season off Gibson, and he has a total of 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Gibson took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without taking a loss. Gibson’s ERA at home is 4.83 compared to 4.2 on the road.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. St. Louis has been led by Alec Burleson and his 21 home runs, but he is also batting just .277 for the season. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the team’s home run list, but both have struggled in terms of batting average.
Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been two of the Cardinals’ most consistent hitters of late, with Donovan batting .351 over his last 10 games and Burleson hitting .273 over his last nine games. Burleson has two homers in that stretch, while Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado also have two homers in their last 10 games.