Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24
At 7:20 PM ET, the Phillies and Braves will face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are slight home underdogs on the money line (+109). The money line odds have the Phillies at -130, and they are 1st in the NL East with a record of 73-51. The Braves are on a two-game winning streak and their overall record is 66-58.
Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, while the Phillies are going with Zack Wheeler. On the season, Lopez has a 5.63 ERA, while Wheeler has a 2.57 ERA. BSSO is carrying this game on TV.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline +109
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Philadelphia was the -163 favorite at home going into the game.
Taijuan Walker had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Trea Turner, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/4.
Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Braves, and they currently lead the NL East by seven games over Atlanta. The Phillies are 73-51 overall, and they are 19-12 in divisional matchups this year. Philadelphia closed out their series with the Nationals with a win and took the series 3-1.
At home, the Phillies have gone 42-23 this year, and they are just above .500 at 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 62-39 this year and 11-12 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 21-14-6.
Philadelphia is 30-29 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. The Phillies have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game on the road, and their average run differential in all games this season is +0.8 runs per game.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Phillies have played in 61 games this season where the line was set higher than that, accounting for 49.2% of their games. Their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-60 overall. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 17 times, under 13 times, and pushed once.
Zack Wheeler has been pitching well for the Phillies this season, coming into the game with a record of 12-5 and an ERA of 2.72. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 9.81 strikeouts per nine innings. Wheeler’s most recent outing came against the Nationals, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Wheeler’s ERA on the road is 3.91, compared to 2.68 at home.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Over the team’s last six games, Alec Bohm has gone 6/22 with four runs and one home run. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in RBIs, as he has 85 RBIs for the season. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are also near the top of the league in home runs, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Harper’s 26 homers being the 2nd most on the team.
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Braves closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -187. Offensively, the Braves scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He was very efficient, throwing just 71 pitches, and gave up only one run on two hits. Ramon Laureano came off the bench to hit a homer, and the Braves also had three other players with two hits.
With an overall record of 66-58, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta will host the Phillies today, and they are 2nd in the NL East with an 18-16 division record. The Braves have won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Angels.
At home, the Braves are 32-26 this season and 34-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 57-46 and 9-12 as the underdog. So far, the Braves have dropped five straight at home, and they are 0-1 as the home underdog this year. Atlanta’s overall series record is 20-15-5, and they have won two straight series.
When the Braves win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is just below .500 at 56-68, with a run line record of 23-35 at home and 33-33 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 45-58 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 11-10.
Today’s over/under line for the Atlanta Braves game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 8 runs. The Braves have played to a combined run average of 8.3 this season and have an over/under record of 47-72. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-12-1. Overall, 60.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with 75 games having higher lines and 29 games having lower lines.
Braves starter Reynaldo López has made 19 appearances this year and has a record of 7-4. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.06, along with a WHIP of 1.19. So far, López has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.77 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going three innings and not giving up a run vs. the Mets. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and 1.75 ERA compared to 3-3 with a 2.43 ERA on the road.
Marcell Ozuna has been red hot for the Braves of late, going 9/18 in his last five games with a homer and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .309 with 36 homers and 93 RBIs, which are both 3rd in the league. Ozuna also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .230 this season.
As a team, the Braves are 4th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 15th in the league.