Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24
From Citi Field in New York, we have the Orioles and Mets facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Mets at -125 compared to the Orioles at +106. This game is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET.
The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Jose Quintana is slated to start for the Mets, and the Orioles are going with Dean Kremer. Baltimore is 73-53 and in 2nd place in the AL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 65-60.
NEW YORK METS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -125
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Orioles series. New York went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -138 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Orioles could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Mets, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.
David Peterson got the win for the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Edwin Diaz closed things out with a save. Trevor Rogers had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
J.D. Martinez and Francisco Alvarez each homered for the Mets, while Ramon Urias went deep for the Orioles. Urias finished the game 2/3 with three RBIs.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles are 73-53 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles have lost five straight games as the underdog, and they are 12-12 overall as the underdog this year.
At home, the Orioles are 37-28 this year, and they have gone 36-25 on the road. Baltimore’s series record is 23-11-6 this year. They are currently 0-1 in their series vs. the Mets. Looking at their overall record, the Orioles are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Orioles this season, it’s been a profitable endeavor. They are 69-57 on the run line overall, including a 37-24 mark on the road. Their average run differential for the season is +0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 17-7 as an underdog on the run line this season.
When the Orioles are on the road, the over has hit at a 68-48 clip this season. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per contest, and they have played in 40 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has hit at a 20-15 rate. Overall, 51 of their games have had lower over/under lines, and the under has hit in their last three games.
Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 5-9 with an ERA of 4.48. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his most recent outing, Kremer picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has a record of 3-5 on the road with an ERA of 4.67.
So far this season, the Orioles offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 3rd in the league in runs per game (5) and have the best home run total in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 7th in the league, and have the league’s top slugging percentage. Baltimore also comes into the game with the best Isolated Power (ISO) in the league.
Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/31 in his last eight games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .287 with 33 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. Anthony Santander has more homers than Henderson, but is batting just .240 for the season.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 65-60 overall and trail the Phillies by 8.5 games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional games. New York is at home today, where they are 34-32 this season. They have been slightly better on the road, going 31-28.
New York has an overall series record of 20-16-7 this year, and they are 42-34 as the favorite. As for their time as the underdog, the Mets are 23-26 this year. They have dropped four of their last six games as the favorite.
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 59-66. They have been a better bet on the road, going 31-28, compared to 28-38 at home. When they win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7, but when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5.
The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.3. Their over/under record is 63-58, and games with an over/under line of 8.5 have gone over 23 times and under 15 times. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs per game. The under has hit in their last three games.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to rebound from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Overall, Quintana has a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.26. Looking at his home/away splits, he has a record of 3-4 at home with a 4.14 ERA compared to 3-4 on the road with a 5.99 ERA. Opponents are batting .238 this season off Quintana, and he has made eight quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.19 strikeouts and 3.49 walks.
Over the past seven games, Francisco Lindor has gone 9/29 with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .263 with 24 home runs, which is 13th in the league and 2nd on the Mets. Pete Alonso is right behind him with 27 homers, and he has gone 8/26 in his last seven games with two homers and six RBIs.
Mark Vientos is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 9/26 with two homers over his last seven games. During this stretch, he has also driven in five runs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are also on three-game hitting streaks. As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game.