Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24
From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have the Phillies and Braves facing off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSSE will be televising Sunday’s Phillies vs. Braves matchup.
Philadelphia is 58-31 and they are 1st in the NL East, while the Braves are 48-39 and are 2nd in the division. Atlanta is favored on the money line today, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Michael Mercado for the Phillies.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +147
This game will be played at Truist Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 7th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Phillies and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Phillies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -121 on the money line.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies and gave up five runs in five innings of work.
Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna each homered for the Braves, while Jarred Kelenic scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Albies, Kelenic, and Austin Riley each had two hits and two RBIs.
Phillies Records & Stats
With a record of 58-31, the Phillies lead the NL East by nine games over the Braves. The Phillies took the series opener, but the Braves bounced back to take game two, and they are 18-7-5 in series record this year. So far, the Phillies have gone 15-9 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been great, going 33-14, and they have been solid on the road, coming in at 25-17. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, putting up a mark of 38-15.
When betting the run line with the Phillies, it’s been a profitable proposition this season, as they have a 47-42 record against the run line. They’ve been especially good as the favorite, going 39-35 against the run line. Their average run margin is +1.3 runs per game, and they’ve been especially good at home, where they are 24-23 against the run line.
The Phillies are on the road today against the Braves, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.6 runs, and they have an over/under record of 40-44. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-10. Overall, 21.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Michael Mercado will be making his 3rd appearance of the season, and his 2nd start. He picked up a win in his first start of the season, going 5 innings and allowing just 1 run on 2 hits. He also has a bullpen appearance under his belt, where he went just 1 inning and struck out 1 batter.
Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the majors. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .259, which is 3rd in the league, and have the 7th most home runs in the league. The Phillies also do a good job of working the count, as they are 5th in the league in walks.
Over the past five games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 9/22 with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Bryce Harper is batting .303 with a team-high 20 homers, and his 58 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top run producer, as his 70 RBIs are the best in the league.
Braves Records & Stats
With a record of 48-39, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta is 13-12 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are 28-17 at home this season compared to a 20-22 mark on the road.
So far, the Braves have been good as the favorite, going 45-33, but they are just 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 16-11-2 this year, and they are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Phillies. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When betting on the Braves’ run line, it’s been a coin flip on the road, where they’re 21-21. They’ve been a bit below .500 at home, going 20-25. As the favorite, they’re 36-42, and as the underdog, they’re 5-4.
With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Braves have played 24 games with a lower line and 34 games with a higher line this season. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 30-53. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season.
Braves starter Reynaldo López has made 15 appearances this season and has a record of 6-2. His ERA is currently 1.83, and he has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, López is averaging 9.36 strikeouts and 3.33 walks. Looking back at his last outing, López finished with a no-decision against the Giants. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four walks, and two home runs. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.43 ERA compared to 2.48 on the road.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .298 with 23 home runs and 72 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. He has also gone deep in two straight games and is 6/22 in his last six games. Ozzie Albies has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/24 in his last six games, including two homers and five RBIs. Albies is currently on a nine-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a pretty average team in terms of power and batting average, and are also in the middle of the pack in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. Currently, the Braves have four players who are on some sort of hitting streak.