New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Mets and Pirates is set for 1:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Pirates are slight home underdogs on the money line (+112), while the Mets have a line of -132. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Luis L. Ortiz for the Pirates. New York is 3rd in the NL East, while the Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central. SNY is carrying the game on TV.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +112

This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 5-2 road win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a three-run 3rd inning and added two more runs in the 6th. As for the Pirates, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -132 on the money line.

David Peterson got the start for the Mets, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Jose Butto came out of the bullpen for the win, and Edwin Diaz got the save. Bailey Falter only went two innings for the Pirates, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Luis Torrens and Brandon Nimmo each had three hits and three RBIs for the Mets’ offense. Oneil Cruz hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs for the Pirates.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 43-44 overall and trail the Phillies by 14 games in the NL East. New York is 13-12 against other teams in the NL East. This season, the Mets are 24-23 as the favorite and 19-21 as the underdog. They have an even series record of 13-13-4 this year.

At home, the Mets are 21-25 this year and have gone 22-19 on the road. New York has split their first two games of this series vs. the Pirates, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game, while their run line record in those contests is 41-46. Their overall run line record is 24-17 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 17-30 vs. the run line.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is a bit higher than the Mets’ average line of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 46-38. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Mets are 4-3-3, and only 11.5% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.67 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27, and he has allowed a total of seven home runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has turned in four quality starts, and opponents are batting .222 off him this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run-hitting team, and their team batting average of .247 is 9th in the MLB. New York also does a good job of making contact, as they are 9th in the league in strikeouts.

Brandon Nimmo is currently the Mets’ top hitter, as he is batting .249 for the season and has gone deep 13 times, which is 3rd on the team. He also leads the team with 52 RBIs. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the team’s top two home run hitters, with 18 and 15 homers, respectively. Over his last 10 games, Lindor is batting .250 with two homers.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh will take on the Mets today with an overall record of 42-46, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are nine games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Pirates have gone 13-13 in divisional games this year.

The Pirates have the same record at home as they do on the road, as they are both 21-23 this season. Pittsburgh has dropped two straight games as the underdog and are 25-27 as the underdog overall. As the home underdog, the Pirates have gone 10-10 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 11-13-4 and have dropped two straight series.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. This has led to a run line record of 47-41, with a -0.3 run differential per game. They have been a better bet on the road, going 26-18 against the run line, compared to 21-23 at home. They have also been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-17 against the run line, compared to 12-24 as the favorite.

When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is usually set at 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 3-6-1. The Pirates have played in 72 games with over/under lines set under 9 runs, and only 6 games with lines set over 9 runs.

Luis L. Ortiz gets the start for the Pirates today and has made 23 appearances this year. He has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 3.27. Looking at his overall numbers, Ortiz has a WHIP of 1.24 and has issued 2.95 walks per nine innings compared to 7.69 strikeouts. Ortiz’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went 2 innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had won three straight outings. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also near the bottom of the league. Pittsburgh does have two hitters in the top 15 in terms of RBIs, with Bryan Reynolds leading the team with 54 RBIs and Oneil Cruz coming in with 39.

Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/30 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. Rowdy Tellez has also homered four times in his last seven games while batting .400. Both Reynolds and Cruz come into the game on four-game hitting streaks.