Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

The Padres look to extend their three-game winning streak on Saturday, as they host the Diamondbacks at PETCO Park in San Diego. Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres, and they are facing an Arizona club that is 43-45 and 4th in the NL West. Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks.

San Diego is the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to the Diamondbacks at +101. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and first pitch for this NL West matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -120

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Saturday, July 6th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Padres in the last game of this series, as they took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 10-8. San Diego went into the matchup as +100 underdogs.

The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Diamondbacks didn’t get on the board until the 4th, when they scored five runs. They added three more in the 9th but fell short of a comeback.

Manny Machado and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres, while Joc Pederson went deep for the Diamondbacks. Machado, Higashioka, and Jurickson Profar each had two RBIs for San Diego’s offense.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 43-45 overall this season, and they are 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 17-14 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, and they are 21-24 as the road underdog, which includes having won two straight as the underdog overall.

At home, the Diamondbacks are just above .500 at 22-21 this season. Arizona’s overall series record is 12-13-2, and they have won two straight series. So far, they are 5-5 across their last ten games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Padres.

Arizona is a team that has been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 43-45 overall. They have been especially good on the run line as the underdog, going 27-21. They have also been a solid bet on the run line on the road, going 24-21. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.2.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road against the San Diego Padres today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game this season and their over/under record is 45-41. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4. Overall, 85.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 4 games.

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.28. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his 17 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt most recently faced the Athletics, where he went six innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with eight strikeouts. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They also come into the game with a team batting average of .254 (5th) and have been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 8th in the league in this category. The Diamondbacks have also been good at getting on base, as they have the league’s 6th best on-base percentage.

Christian Walker has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 22 home runs are 4th in the MLB. He also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 13/25 in his last six games with five homers and 11 RBIs. Ketel Marte is also a player to watch in this game, as he is 9th in the league with 17 homers and is batting .284 for the season.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is currently 49-43 overall and 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won three straight games and are 8-2 over their last 10, which is the best mark in the NL West. So far, they are 15-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are 25-22 this year and 24-21 on the road. San Diego has won four straight games at home, and they have an overall series record of 17-10-2 this year. The Padres have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

San Diego has a run differential of +0.4 runs per game this season, but they have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 31-14. They are just 18-29 vs. the run line at home. The Padres have covered the run line in three straight games and are 28-11 as an underdog.

San Diego has played to the over in 49 of their 91 games this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against Arizona is set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have played to the over in 15 of their 30 games with a 7.5 O/U line this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game overall.

San Diego is sending Matt Waldron to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.56 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Waldron took the loss vs. the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 4.1 compared to 4.65 at home.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in batting average and have the 7th most home runs in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, also averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been a big power threat for the Padres this season, as his 13 homers are 2nd on the team and 13th in the league. Profar is also hitting .316, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been a big power threat, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB. Luis Arraez and Manny Machado have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Arraez hitting .355 over his last seven games and Machado going 10/30 with four homers in his last seven games.