Penn State Nittany Lions vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
At 3:30 ET, Penn State and Minnesota will be facing off at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. CBS will be handling the TV broadcast as Penn State comes in with a 9-1 record, and Minnesota is 6-4. The over/under line is currently 45.5 points, with Penn State as the heavy favorite at -11.5 points. The money line odds have Penn State at -461 and Minnesota at +344.
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +11.5
This game will be played at Huntington Bank Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS:
- We have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning this one by a score of 27 to 21
- Even though we like the Penn State Nittany Lions to win, our ATS pick is to take the Minnesota Golden Gophers at +11.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points
Will The Penn State Nittany Lions Win As Road Favorites?
Penn State enters Week 13 with a 9-1 record, ranked 7th in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 1.9% chance of winning the Big Ten. However, they have an 88.9% chance of making the CFB playoff, the 6th best odds in the country.
The Nittany Lions are 5-1 on the road and 3-0 at home this season. They’ve been favored in eight of their 10 games, going 8-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +19.4 points per game, and they are 5-4 against the spread, with a 3-0 record on the road and a 2-4 mark at home.
Penn State’s over/under record is 2-7, with their games averaging 46.6 points. This week’s line is 45.5 points, the lowest they’ve seen all season. Their average over/under line is 50 points, and they’ve fallen short of the total by an average of 3.4 points per game.
Penn State’s offense is averaging 33 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 27th in the nation. However, they rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the focal point, averaging 201.4 yards per game on 37.1 attempts.
Kaytron Allen leads the ground game with 654 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 2,253 yards, completing 71.9% of his passes, with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 116.
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking sixth nationally by allowing just 13.6 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 101.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 74.1 and a completion percentage of 56.4% against Penn State’s secondary.
In their recent game against Purdue, Penn State’s defense allowed just 10 points, giving up 85 rushing yards on 28 attempts and 217 passing yards. They also forced Purdue into 16 first downs during the game.
Are The Minnesota Golden Gophers Going Win In At Upset At Huntington Bank Stadium
At 6-4, Minnesota is guaranteed bowl eligibility, but they have no chance of winning the Big Ten. They are 3-2 at home this season and have been favored in five of their ten games. As the favorite, they are 4-1, and they are ranked 35th in our CFB power rankings heading into their Week 13 matchup with Penn State.
Minnesota has a +9 average scoring margin this season and is 6-2-1 against the spread. At home, they are 3-1-1 ATS and have gone 2-0 as the favorite. Their record as the favorite is 4-1 against the spread.
The Golden Gophers’ over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 44.4 points per contest. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, slightly above their average over/under line of 43.1 points.
Heading into week 13, Minnesota’s offense ranks 60th in points per game, averaging 26.7, and they are 62nd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been the focus, ranking 27th in completions and 35th in attempts, with an average of 228.6 yards per game. They are 15th in completion percentage, converting 67.2% of their throws, and 18th in third-down conversions, with a 46.6% success rate.
Max Brosmer leads the team with 2,251 passing yards and a passer rating of 96. He has completed 67.1% of his passes, throwing 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. Darius Taylor is the leading rusher with 672 yards and nine touchdowns. Daniel Jackson has 712 receiving yards on 63 catches.
Despite their recent 26-19 loss to Rutgers, Minnesota’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 17.7 points per game. In the game against Rutgers, they gave up 26 points, allowing 375 total yards, including 137 rushing yards and 238 passing yards.
On average, Minnesota’s defense has allowed 121 rushing yards per game and 176.6 passing yards, ranking 26th in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 63.1 against Minnesota, completing 58.8% of their passes.