Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor is the site for this week 13 matchup between the Northwestern Wildcats and Michigan Wolverines, set to kick off at 3:30 ET. The Wolverines are the -11.5 point favorites over Northwestern, with the over/under line currently at 37.5 points. The game will be broadcast on FS1 as both teams come in with five losses on the season. Michigan is 5-5, and Northwestern is 4-6.

NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS VS MICHIGAN WOLVERINES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Michigan Wolverines -11.5

This game will be played at Michigan Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.

WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:

• We have the Michigan Wolverines winning this one by a score of 25 to 12
• Not only do we have the Michigan Wolverines winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 37.5 points

Will The Northwestern Wildcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Northwestern enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing Michigan on the road. They rank 77th in our power rankings and have just a 7.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Wildcats are 1-2 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.

Northwestern has been favored in only one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -4.8 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 37.5 points, the lowest they’ve seen this season. Northwestern’s games have averaged 40.8 points, with an average over/under line of 41.6 points.

Heading into week 13, Northwestern’s offense ranks 114th in our CFB offensive power rankings, averaging 18 points per game. Their passing game is 45th in attempts, with 30.6 per game, but they are 115th in passing yards, averaging 178.5 yards per game. Their third down conversion rate is 30.6%, ranking 117th, and their passer rating is 125th in the nation.

Jack Lausch leads the Wildcats with 1,321 passing yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions, posting a passer rating of 71. Cam Porter is the leading rusher with 424 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Bryce Kirtz has 506 receiving yards on 34 catches but has yet to score a touchdown.

Northwestern’s defense is ranked 40th nationally, allowing 22.8 points per game. In their recent game against Ohio State, they gave up 31 points, including 247 passing yards and two touchdowns, while allowing 173 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 241.6 passing yards per game against Northwestern, completing 62.2% of their throws. On the ground, Northwestern has allowed 115.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 33rd in the country.

Are The Michigan Wolverines Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Michigan enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 43rd in our CFB power rankings. They have an 80.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Wolverines are 5-2, but they’ve struggled on the road, going 0-3 this season.

Against the spread, Michigan is 3-7, with a -2.6 average scoring margin. They are 1-4 ATS as the favorite and 2-5 at home this season.

The over/under line for this week is 37.5 points. Michigan’s games have averaged 43.4 points, with their over/under record at 6-4 and an average line of 42.8 points.

Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.4 points per game, placing them 86th in the nation. They are ranked 87th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 125th in passing yards per game with 134.6. They are also 82nd in both passing attempts and completions per game.

Davis Warren leads the team with 869 passing yards, completing 61.6% of his passes. He has thrown five touchdowns and six interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 72. Michigan is converting 39.2% of their third downs. On the ground, they average 156.2 rushing yards per game. Kalel Mullings has rushed for 740 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Michigan’s defense allowed just 20 points in their recent game against Indiana, but the Wolverines still lost 20-15. They gave up 250 total yards, including only 44 rushing yards on 26 attempts, while allowing 206 passing yards and two touchdowns. Michigan also forced one interception in the game.

For the season, Michigan ranks 14th nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 103 yards per game on the ground. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 91.7 passer rating and 232.8 passing yards per game against Michigan, completing 62.7% of their throws.