Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Senators versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this game is set at 7 goals, and the Maple Leafs are the home favorites against the Senators in a Atlantic division matchup.


The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 27th.


  • With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)

Will Ottawa Win on the Road?

For the season, the Senators currently hold an overall record of 12-17-0. On the road, Ottawa has gone 3-8-0 and they are 9-9-0 at home. Their current record places them 8th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 16th in the Eastern conference.

Against the puck line, Ottawa is 13-16. Their road puck line record so far is 5-6 while sitting 8-10 at home against the puckline. The average goal total for Ottawa's games is sitting at 7. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Senators come in with an over/under record of 16-10-3.

In their last three games away from home, the Senators have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.

On the offensive side, the Senators are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 20th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 28th in the league. This season, the Senators have a 8-11 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 4-6 record.

Ottawa's leading scorer is Brady Tkachuk. So far, he has 15 goals which is 23rd in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 9 assists so far.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 32.4 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 10th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 18 games in this season. His current record is 6-11, and his save percentage stands at 0.8061224489795918%.

Taking a Look at the Maple Leafs Chances at Home

Through 31 games, the Maple Leafs have achieved an overall record of 17-8-6. When on the road, Toronto holds a 8-3-4 record, while they are 9-5-2 when playing at home. At the moment, they hold the 2nd spot in the Eastern Atlantic division and are ranked 4th in the Eastern conference.

Regarding the puck line, Toronto comes in with a 9-22 record. On the road against the puck line, they are 4-11, while their home record is 5-11. This season, Toronto's games are averaging 7.1 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Maple Leafs currently have an over/under record of 18-12-1.

When looking at their past three matchups at home, Toronto has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. Toronto's offense is currently ranked 13th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 11th in the league.

Toronto will be looking for a good game from Auston Matthews who leads the team in scoring with 28 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 13 assists so far.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.4 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 10th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Goalie Martin Jones gets the start and has made four starts this season. His record at this point is 4-1, and his save percentage is 0.336734693877551%.