Looking to win big? The Senators and Islanders face off at 12:30 ET on ESPN+. The Islanders are hosting the game at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY. This Eastern conference matchup has an over/under of 6.5 goals, and the Islanders are favored by -1.5 goals vs. the Senators.


The Pick: New York Islanders -1.5

This game will be played at UBS Arena at 12:30 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Senators to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
  • We like the Senators on the moneyline (+143)
  • The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can the Senators Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

On the season, the Senators are 27-33-4 and in 8th place in the Atlantic Division. In the Eastern Conference, Ottawa is 15th. On the road, the Senators are just 9-19-2, and they have lost seven of their last ten games.

Over their last five games, Ottawa has gone 2-3, and they have been the underdog in 34 of their 64 games. When they are the underdog, the Senators have gone 12-18-4.

On the road, the Senators have a puck line record of 12-18 this year and 28-36 overall. So far, Ottawa has 18 wins by multiple goals and 25 losses by multiple goals.

Overall, the Senators have an average scoring margin of -.3 goals per game. In their last ten games, Ottawa has gone just 2-8 against the puck line.

This season, Ottawa's games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.6. The Senators come in with an over/under performance of 32-29-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Ottawa has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.

On the offensive side, the Senators are scoring an 3.2 goals per game this season, ranking 18th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 13th in the league. Looking at how the Senators' offense is performing during power plays, they are 22nd in power play goals and 22nd in shorthanded goals.

Ottawa's leading scorer is Brady Tkachuk. So far, he has 27 goals which is 29th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 25 assists so far.

New York defense takes on the Senators ranked 5th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.9 shots per game against New York. They also are 19th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 37 games this season. His current record stands at 14-20, and his save percentage is 0.844%.

Will New York Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At home this season, the Islanders have gone 15-8-9, and they have won two straight games at home. In the Eastern Conference, New York is in 8th place and 4th in the Metropolitan Division. Overall, the Islanders have a record of 29-22-14.

Over their last ten games, the Islanders have gone 6-4, and they have lost two straight games. As the favorite this season, New York has gone 15-11-5 and 31 times this year. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Islanders have gone 18-18.

At home this year, the Islanders have gone 14-18 against the puck line, and they are 33-32 vs. the puck line for the year. So far, New York has an average scoring differential of -.2 goals per game.

On the year, the Islanders have been the underdog in 34 games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 24-10. In their last ten home games, New York has gone 5-5 vs. the puck line.

The average goal total for New York's games is sitting at 6.3. The average over/under line for the season is 6. The Islanders come in with an over/under record of 35-26-4.

Across the Senators last three road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.

On offense, the Islanders are averaging 3 goals per game which is 21st in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. Coming into the game, the Islanders have a 11-10 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 18-12.

New York's leading scorer is Brock Nelson. So far, he has 29 goals which is 21st in the NHL. Nelson also comes into the game with 27 assists.

In terms of defense, the Islanders head into the game ranked 5th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.9 shots per game against New York. So far, they are 19th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Semyon Varlamov gets the start and has made 18 starts this season. His record at this point is 7-7, and his save percentage is 0.532%.