The Beavers and Ducks are set to face off at 11:00 ET on FS1. The Ducks will host the game at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, OR. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and Oregon is favored by -11.5 to win at home against Oregon State.


The Pick: Oregon State Beavers +11.5

This game will be played at Matthew Knight Arena at 11:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Ducks.
  • Even though we have Oregon winning straight-up, we like Oregon State at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Beavers Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

As an underdog this season, Oregon State has gone 4-16, and they are 12-16 overall compared to 4-13 in the Pac-12. On the road, the Beavers have struggled, going just 1-8 with an average scoring differential of -13.8 points per game.

Following their 85-73 win over Stanford, Oregon State's record sits at 12-16. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Beavers are 1-9, and they are 1-4 in their previous five road games.

When looking at Oregon State's ATS record this season, they are currently 15-13. As the underdog, they have gone 12-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-4 this year and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beavers have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Oregon State games is 18-10, and today's line of 138 is similar to the average over/under line of 138.3 in their games. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and over their last five games, the average is 138 points. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's line of 138.

In their latest game, Oregon State's offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Stanford. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.7% and made 19/23 free throws. On the offensive front, the Beavers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 237th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 332nd in terms of percentage and 308th in three-pointers made.

In terms of defense, Oregon State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Oregon State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.

Can Oregon Pull Off a Home Win?

Despite dropping their most recent game to California, Oregon has been outstanding at home this season, going 12-3. Over their last 10 games at home, the Ducks have gone 8-2.

For the season, Oregon has been favored in 19 of their 27 games, going 15-4 in those contests.

As the favorite this season, Oregon has gone just 9-10 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ducks have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. At home this year, Oregon is 9-6 ATS, but they have gone just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Oregon games is 13-12-1. Today's over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (146.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the Oregon offense concluded with only 64 points against California. Throughout the game, they made 4/18 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 34.5%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Ducks offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 22.3 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

Currently, the Ducks' defense holds the 160th rank in the nation, allowing 71.6 points per game. Against California in their most recent game, the Oregon defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing California to hit 41% of their shots.