Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24
FOX will be covering this week eight college football matchup between the Oregon Ducks and Purdue Boilermakers, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. The Oregon Ducks are coming in with a perfect 6-0 record, while Purdue is looking to improve on their 1-5 start to the season. The Ducks are heavily favored at -27.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 58.5 points.
OREGON DUCKS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +27.5
This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium at 8:00 ET on Friday, October 18th.
WHY BET THE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS:
- We have the Oregon Ducks winning this one by a score of 37 to 27
- Even though we like the Oregon Ducks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Purdue Boilermakers at +27.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 58.5 points
Will The Oregon Ducks Win As Road Favorites?
Oregon enters Week 8 against Purdue with a 6-0 record and is ranked 8th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 28.1% chance of winning the Big Ten. Oregon also holds the second-best odds in the country to make the CFB playoff at 83.8%.
The Ducks are 3-0 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four of their six games, going 4-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +15.2 points per game, but they are 2-3 against the spread.
Oregon’s over/under record is 3-2, with their games averaging 53.8 points. The average line has been 54.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.
Oregon’s offense ranks 24th in points per game, averaging 34.5, but they are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 1,790 yards, and the Ducks are 8th in passing completions, averaging 26.2 per game. They rank 17th in passing yards, with 302 per game, and Gabriel has 13 touchdowns and three interceptions, with a passer rating of 117.
Oregon leads the nation in completion percentage at 76.2%. Gabriel’s completion percentage is 76.1%. On the ground, they average 165.2 rushing yards per game. Jordan James has 667 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and averages 6 yards per carry. Tez Johnson leads the receivers with 50 catches for 470 yards and six touchdowns.
Oregon’s defense ranks 25th nationally, allowing 19.3 points per game. They’ve given up 110.8 rushing yards per game (33rd) and 189.3 passing yards per game, ranking 44th. Opposing quarterbacks have a 72.8 passer rating against Oregon, completing 58.6% of their passes.
In their recent game against Ohio State, Oregon allowed 31 points and 469 total yards. The Ducks gave up 326 passing yards and two touchdowns, while Ohio State rushed 32 times for 143 yards.
Are The Purdue Boilermakers Going Win In At Upset At Ross-Ade Stadium
Purdue enters Week 8 with a 1-5 record and no chance of bowl eligibility. They are ranked 102nd in our power rankings. So far, they are 0-2 at home and 0-2 on the road this season.
The Boilermakers have not been favored in any game this season and have an average scoring margin of -15.3 points per game. Against the spread, they are 0-4.
This week’s over/under line is 58.5 points, while Purdue’s games have averaged 62.7 points. Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 47.4 points.
Heading into week 8, Purdue’s offense ranks 94th in our power rankings, averaging 23.7 points per game. Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 88. Purdue is 105th nationally in passing yards, averaging 183.8 yards per game, and they convert just 33.3% of their third downs.
On the ground, Purdue averages 157.3 rushing yards per game. Devin Mockobee leads the team with 464 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. Jahmal Edrine has 154 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 39 points per game, including 50 points in their recent 50-49 loss to Illinois. They gave up 556 total yards, with 379 yards coming through the air and 177 on the ground, along with three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 229.8 rushing yards per game against Purdue, ranking them 169th nationally. The Boilermakers have faced the 17th fewest pass attempts in the country, but they are still allowing 225.7 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 60.1% of their throws.