Florida State Seminoles vs Duke Blue Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24
Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham is the site for this week eight matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and the Florida State Seminoles. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET, and ESPN2 will be handling the broadcast. Duke comes in with a 5-1 record, while Florida State is still looking for their second win of the season. The Blue Devils are the -3.5 point favorites at home, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points.
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida State Seminoles +3.5
This game will be played at Wallace Wade Stadium at 7:00 ET on Friday, October 18th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES:
- We have the Florida State Seminoles winning this one by a score of 28 to 19
- Not only do we have the Florida State Seminoles winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 42.5 points
Will The Florida State Seminoles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Florida State enters Week 8 with a 1-5 record, facing Duke on the road. They are ranked 67th in our power rankings and have just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Seminoles are 1-3 at home and 0-2 on the road this season.
Florida State’s ATS record stands at 2-4, with an average scoring margin of -10.5 points per game. They are 2-2 against the spread at home and 0-2 on the road, having been favored in four of their six games.
Their over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 40.2 points. This week’s line is set at 42.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 49.8 points.
Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, placing them 95th in the nation. They are ranked 109th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Their third-down conversion rate is only 28.9%, and their rushing attack is nearly non-existent, with just 66.7 yards per game on the ground.
DJ Uiagalelei leads the passing game with 1,065 yards, but he has thrown six interceptions compared to four touchdowns, giving him a passer rating of 67. Florida State ranks 34th in passing attempts, averaging 33.5 per game. Ja’Khi Douglas has 306 receiving yards and two touchdowns this season.
Florida State’s defense struggled in their recent 29-13 loss to Clemson, allowing 29 points and 571 total yards. Clemson rushed 40 times for 228 yards and threw for 343 yards, completing 33 of 43 passes and scoring four passing touchdowns.
On the season, Florida State is giving up 25.3 points per game. Opponents are averaging 189.5 rushing yards per game and 219.3 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 64% of their passes against the Seminoles, posting a passer rating of 105.3.
Are The Duke Blue Devils Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Duke enters Week 8 with a 5-1 record, but they have just a 0.3% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. However, they have a 96.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Blue Devils are 2-0 at home this season and rank 63rd in our power rankings.
Duke’s average scoring margin is +8.8 points per game, and they are 2-1-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-0-1 as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 1-3, with an average total of 43.8 points per game. Duke’s average over/under line is 48.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 42.5 points.
Duke’s offense ranks 98th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8, averaging 26.3 points per game. They have struggled on third downs, converting just 28.7% of their attempts, and their rushing attack ranks 108th nationally, averaging 116.2 yards per game.
Maalik Murphy leads the passing game with 1,431 yards and 14 touchdowns, though he has thrown five interceptions. Duke is 26th in passing attempts, averaging 34.8 per game. Jordan Moore has 443 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.
Despite ranking 17th nationally in points allowed at 17.5 per game, Duke’s defense struggled in their recent game against Georgia Tech, giving up 24 points and 505 total yards. They allowed 371 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, though they held Georgia Tech to 134 passing yards.
On average, Duke has allowed 152 rushing yards per game and 157.7 passing yards, which ranks 16th in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 59.6% of their passes and have a passer rating of 73.6 against Duke’s defense.