Looking to win big? The Thunder and Heat face off at 7:30 ET on BSSU. The Heat are hosting the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. The Thunder are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 234.5 points.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +4.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-113 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will the Thunder Win in Miami?

Coming into today's game, the Thunder are 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. Overall, they are 24-11 and have gone 14-8 against other teams in the West. In non-conference games, they are 10-3.

On the road, Oklahoma City is 10-6 this season and has an average scoring margin of +6.8 points per game. Their road ATS record is 10-6, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three road games.

At home, the Thunder have gone 14-5 and have an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game. They have covered the spread in four straight home games and are 14-5 ATS at home.

When it comes to being the favorite, the Thunder have gone 16-5 straight up and 14-7 ATS. Their average scoring margin in these games is 11.1 points per game.

So far this season, 35 of the Thunder's games have had higher over/under lines than today's line of 234.5. They have an over/under record of 21-14 and have gone over the total in four straight games.

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the league's top-scoring teams, averaging 122.2 points per game (4th). When playing on the road, they are averaging 119.5 points per game (4th).

Oklahoma City has been one of the NBA's most efficient offenses, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage (50%) and 2nd in true shooting percentage. They have also been one of the league's top three-point shooting teams, hitting 39% of their attempts from beyond the arc (1st).

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 9th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 10th in the NBA with an average of 26.9 per game.

So far, the Thunder's defense is ranked 15th in the league at 114.6 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Thunder defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.1% while allowing 36.5% from downtown.

Will the Heat Pull Through as the Home Underdog?

Heading into today's game, the Heat are 4.5-point underdogs at home against the Thunder. Miami is 21-15 overall and is currently 5th in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.

When playing at home, the Heat have gone 10-6 this season and have an average scoring margin of +0.7 points per game. They have won their last three home games and have an ATS home record of 6-10.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 6-10 straight up and 8-8 ATS. Their average scoring margin in those games is -1.2 points per game. In 16 of their 36 games, the Heat have been the underdog.

In terms of the over/under, Miami has an O/U record of 17-19 this season. Their games have averaged a combined 224.3 points per game, and their average over/under line is 222.4 points.

So far this season, 33 of Miami's games have had lower over/under lines than today's line of 234.5 points. In those games, they have an O/U record of 15-18. Three of their games have had higher over/under lines than 234.5 points, and their O/U record in those games is 2-1.

This season, the Heat are scoring 112.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. At home, they are averaging 116.9 points per game.

Miami is 28th in pace, averaging 96.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 19th in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 3rd in the NBA at 38%. Overall, they are 11th in true shooting percentage.

This season, the Heat's defense is the 9th ranked defense in the NBA at 9th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 75.0% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.9% while allowing 36.6% from downtown.