Looking to win big? The Thunder and Nuggets face off at 9:00 ET on ALT. The Nuggets are hosting the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 232 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home against the Thunder.


The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Friday, December 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-108 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 13 threes.

Do the Thunder Have a Shot at a Road Win?

In their last game, the Thunder took down the Knicks by a score of 129-120 and also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

So far, the Thunder have an over/under record of 17-12 and have seen each of their last four games go over the over/under line.

When looking at their average over/under line this season, their games have an average over/under line of 231.9.

On the road, the Thunder have gone 8-4 this season and have an average scoring differential of +7.2 points per contest.

Against other teams in the Western Conference, the Thunder are 13-8 compared to going 7-1 in non-conference games. In the West, they are currently in 3rd place.

Oklahoma City has an overall record of 20-9 and are 3.5-point underdogs today vs. the Nuggets. If they win, they will have won three straight games and will also pick up their 3rd straight ATS win.

In their last game, the Thunder put up 129 points vs. the Knicks, which is above their season average of 121.3 points per game. From beyond the arc, the Thunder are shooting 38% on 33.2 attempts per game. Overall, the Thunder have a field goal percentage of 49%.

At present, the Thunder's defense is ranked 14th, allowing 113.6 points per game. Inside the arc, the Thunder defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 50.8% and 36.8% from three-point territory.

Can the Nuggets Deliver Being Favored at Home?

When looking at the overall records for the Nuggets and Thunder, it is no surprise that Denver is favored in this game, as they are 23-10 and have won six straight games. In their last game, they took down the Grizzlies by a score of 142-105.

Heading into today's game, the Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points and have an average scoring margin at home of +12.1 points per contest. Against the spread, they are 8-6 at home and 13-2 straight up.

In the Western Conference standings, Denver is in 2nd place, just 1.5 games behind the Lakers. Against other teams in the West, the Nuggets have gone 15-8 and 2-2 vs. teams in their division.

Denver has been favored in 30 of their 33 games and have a straight-up record of 22-8 in these matchups. Their ATS record when favored is 14-15, and they have covered the spread in six straight games.

On average, the Nuggets games have combined to finish with 225.9 points per game, and their games have finished with over 232 points in just five games this season. So far, Denver's over/under record is 12-20-1.

In their last game, Denver's offense was impressive by scoring 142 points versus the Grizzlies. They shot 57.3% from the field and were 12/14 from the free-throw line. Nikola Jokic leads the team in scoring with 26.3 PPG while Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.3 PPG.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team's to fewer points than the league average in 27.3% of their games. Currently, they are 3rd in the NBA at 110.0 points per game allowed. Most recently, the Nuggets' defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Grizzlies.