Planning on watching today's Buckeyes and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on CBS. The over/under for this game is set at 137.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -10 vs. Ohio State in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes +10

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 4:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Ohio State at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Ohio State Lock in a Road Win?

Ohio State will be the underdog in this game, as they have been in nine of their 27 games this season. The Buckeyes are 2-7 as the underdog, compared to 13-5 as the favorite.

Ohio State has struggled on the road this season, going just 3-8. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.2 points per game, compared to +9.2 points per game at home.

As the underdog, Ohio State's ATS record is 4-5 this season and 10-17 overall. On the road, the Buckeyes are 4-7 vs. the spread and have gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Ohio State is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points. On the season, the over/under record for the Buckeyes is 15-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 144.9 points. Today's over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (143.5).

In their previous game, the Buckeyes' offense finished with 79 points, which is right in line with their current average of 74.6 points per contest. The top scorer for the Buckeyes was Bruce Thornton with 25 points, while Jamison Battle also added 21 to the scoreboard.

Ohio State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.4 points per game. In today's game vs. Michigan State, the Ohio State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Ohio State made 24 free-throws vs. the Buckeyes.

Will Michigan State Come Through as Home Favorites?

Michigan State is 14-5 at home this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 games at the Breslin Center. They are 15-6 when favored this year, and they are favored by 10 points tonight against Ohio State.

Overall, the Spartans are 17-10, and they are 9-7 in Big Ten play. They are coming off a 78-71 loss to Iowa, and their record in their last five games is 4-1.

As the favored team, Michigan State has gone 13-8 vs. the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have an ATS mark of 6-4. At home, their ATS record is 12-7 this year and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. the spread at the Breslin Center.

Michigan State's over/under record for the season sits at 12-15 and today's line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 145 points.

The Spartans' offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75 points per contest. For the season, the Michigan State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 51% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.6 made three's per contest.

This season, the Michigan State defense has been impressive, holding the 41st position in the country while permitting an average of 66.2 points per contest. Michigan State's three-point defense is currently 191st in the country at 7.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.1% of their shots vs. Michigan State.