The Huskies and Cardinals are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cardinals will host the game at Worthen Arena in Muncie, IN. This Mid-American conference matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points, and Ball State is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Northern Illinois.


The Pick: Ball State Cardinals -5.5

This game will be played at Worthen Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Ball State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Northern Illinois Lock in a Road Win?

Despite being the underdog, the Huskies have a record of 3-11 in games where they are not favored. This season, they have an overall record of 6-12 and have lost their last 11 games. On the road, they have gone 2-6 compared to their 2-6 record at home.

Over their last three games on the road, Northern Illinois has gone 0-3. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -9.6 points per game, and they have gone 3-7 in their last ten games away from home.

As the underdog this season, Northern Illinois has gone just 4-10 vs. the spread and they have an overall ATS record of 5-11. On the road, the Huskies are 3-5 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 0-10 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Northern Illinois games is 10-6 and today's over/under line of 150.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (153.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points, which is higher than today's over/under line of 150.5. So far this year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line.

In their latest game, Northern Illinois offense put up 73 points against Toledo. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48.3% and made 6 threes. Offensively, the Huskies have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 125th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 109th in percentage and 131st in three-pointers made.

At present, the Huskies' defense is nationally ranked 296th, allowing 80.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Northern Illinois' defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.6% this season.

Can Ball State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Ball State will look to extend its two-game win streak, as they are favored by 5.5 points over Northern Illinois. The Cardinals have gone 5-3 when favored this season, and they have a 10-9 record overall.

At home, Ball State is 5-2 this season, and their average scoring margin is +7.3. Over their last ten home games, the Cardinals have gone 7-3.

As the favorite this season, Ball State has gone 5-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a 5-5 ATS record. At home, Ball State is 6-1 ATS this year and 6-2 over their last 10 games as the favorite.

Ball State's over/under record this season sits at 7-8-1 and today's line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-3-1.

The Ball State offense is coming off a game where they scored 87 points against Buffalo. They posted a field goal percentage of 50.8% and connected on 10 threes. Offensively, the Cardinals hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 156th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 77th in terms of percentage and 153rd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 70.0 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Ball State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Buffalo knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 59 points.