Newsletter

Often times people, myself included, make bets on high-profile teams that tend to score lots of runs. Or, points if we're talking about any other sport, which we might as well be. In the NFL people bet on New England week after week. In College Football the majority of the tickets are on Alabama. But, you pay dearly for that and often times aren't putting yourself in the best position to win bets.

You've all heard <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-what-is-public-money/"><strong>the term "fade", and people want to "fade" the public</strong></a>. That may well be a profitable thing to do, but the one problem I have with that is that not everyone is reading the same lines at the same times of day with the same ticket counts. That mean, almost without exception, that it's not that simple to tell where the public money actually is. And, at times what appears to be public money is nothing more than "setup" money thrown out by betting syndicates to move a line, knowing full well they're coming back to take the other side at a better price later. So, there's that.

But, if you're like a lot of people that want to do much of their own work, sometimes it's simply easier to find the team we don't want to bet on. More than any other sport, baseball is full of streaky teams that are doing one or two things poorly for a given stretch. Of course those things regress, but you want to bet on those teams before that happens.

Here are some examples I use. The Cincinnati Reds' pitching staff is currently holding teams to a .083 batting average with runners in scoring position. That's simply unheard of, but a very big reason the Reds are 7-2 as of this writing. On the offensive side of the plate, Arizona is hitting .348 WITH runners in scoring position! That won't last, but clearly it's why they're a money-making team at the moment. The Royals are hitting .154 with runners in scoring position, and of course that's why they're losing, or at least one big part of it.

The Royals have also issued more walks than any other pitching staff, so of course if you're putting more men on base and not knocking your men in, you are going to lose. If you ask yourself why the Pirates and the Mariners are a combined 5-13, it's probably because both staffs are allowing opposing lineups to hit .298 or better.

So, the next time you want to make a bet and don't want to pay the premium or lay the chalk, think the other way around. Often times it's not who's going to win, it's who's going to lose.

Do We Bet Against Teams or On Teams ?

BetDSI

Bookmaker

Bet US

BetOnline

Bovada

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 1/14/24

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Prediction 1/14/24

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/24

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 1/7/24

<p>Betting on today's Mean Green and Shockers game? Catch the action at Charles Koch Arena in Wichita, KS, as the Shockers hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN2. This American Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 131.5 points, and the Shockers are favored to win at home vs. the Mean Green.</p><h3>NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN VS WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Wichita State Shockers -2</p><p>This game will be played at Charles Koch Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Shockers.</li><li>Not only will Wichita State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.</li></ul><h3>Can The Mean Green Secure a Road Victory?</h3><p>So far this season, North Texas has played 12 games and has a record of 7-5. In their three road games, they have a 1-2 record and at home, they are 4-3. Against the spread, North Texas has a record of 6-4 thus far. This includes going 2-1 on the road and 4-3 at home.</p><p>Through 12 games, North Texas has an over/under record of 5-4-1 with their games averaging a combined 127.1 points per game so far. The Mean Green have an over/under record of 0-1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 130 points per game.</p><p>Coming off their recent game, the North Texas offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against UT Arlington. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.8%, and they made 12 threes. Offensively, the Mean Green have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 258th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 100th in percentage and 111st in three-pointers made.</p><p>At this time, the Mean Green's defense is positioned 5th in the country, permitting 58.9 points per game. Against UT Arlington, the Mean Green's defense gave up 52 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, UT Arlington only made 10 free-throws.</p><h3>Can the Wichita State Offense Score Enough at Home?</h3><p>Wichita State has played 13 games and currently has a record of 8-5. In road games, the Shockers are 2-2, while at home they are 5-3. Prior to today's matchup, Wichita State holds a 4-8 record against the spread (ATS). In their last ten games this season, Wichita State has gone 0-5 vs. the spread.</p><p>Looking at their over/under performance through 13 games, Wichita State has an over/under record of 7-5-0, with their games averaging 146 points per game on average. Looking at the Shockers' last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 139 points per game.</p><p>In contrast to their season average of 75.3 points per game, the Wichita State had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against Kansas and had a field goal percentage of 42.4%. In terms of offense, the Shockers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 241st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 355th in percentage and 289th in three-pointers made.</p><p>In terms of defense, Wichita State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Kansas, the Jayhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 86 points vs. Wichita State.</p>

North Texas Mean Green vs Wichita State Shockers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/24