North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners Betting Pick & Prediction 11/15/24

North Texas comes into this one with a 5-4 record so far this season, and they are the slight -1.5-point favorites on the road vs. UTSA. The over/under is at 72.5 points for this Friday night matchup on ESPN2. The game is set to kick off at 8:00 ET from the Alamodome in San Antonio. The money line odds are -123 for North Texas and +102 for UTSA.

NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN VS UTSA ROADRUNNERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Texas Mean Green -1.5

This game will be played at Alamodome at 8:00 ET on Friday, November 15th.

WHY BET THE NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN:

• We have the North Texas Mean Green winning this one by a score of 42 to 35
• Not only do we have the North Texas Mean Green winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 72.5 points

Will The North Texas Mean Green Pick Up A Win On The Road?

North Texas enters Week 12 against UTSA with a 5-4 record, ranked 91st in our power rankings. They have a 95.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the American Athletic Conference. The Mean Green are 2-2 at home and 2-2 on the road this season.

North Texas has been favored in three games this season, going 3-0 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +2.2 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 72.5 points, the highest they’ve faced this season. North Texas has a 7-1 record against the over/under, with their games averaging 70.9 points and an average line of 64.9 points.

North Texas has leaned heavily on their passing game this season, ranking third in passing attempts per game with 43.4. They are fourth in both completions and passing yards, averaging 354.1 yards per game. Overall, they are 17th in scoring, putting up 36.6 points per game, and we have them ranked 56th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Chandler Morris has thrown for 3,087 yards and has a passer rating of 100. He has completed 64.4% of his passes, throwing 26 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. DT Sheffield leads the receiving corps with 721 yards and 10 touchdowns on 55 catches. North Texas is averaging 151.6 rushing yards per game.

North Texas’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.3 points per game. They’ve given up 243.1 passing yards per game and 192.8 rushing yards, ranking 147th nationally against the run. Opponents have averaged 40 rushing attempts per game against them.

In their recent game against Army, North Texas allowed 14 points but gave up 296 rushing yards on 61 attempts. Army attempted just four passes, completing two for 15 yards. North Texas did manage to force one interception in the game.

Will The UTSA Roadrunners Win At Home Over The North Texas Mean Green?

UTSA enters Week 12 with a 4-5 record and a 2-0 mark at home. They have a 0.0% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference but a 48.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Roadrunners are ranked 100th in our power rankings as they prepare to face North Texas.

UTSA’s ATS record stands at 2-5, with an average scoring margin of -3.2 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread on the road but have covered both home games, going 2-0 ATS.

The over/under line for this week is 72.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. UTSA’s over/under record is 5-1-1, with their games averaging 61.9 points and an average line of 55.2 points.

UTSA’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 11th in passing attempts per game. They are 18th in passing yards, averaging 291.2 yards per game, and 15th in completions. Overall, they are 43rd in scoring, with 29.3 points per game, and we have them 104th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Quarterback Owen McCown has thrown for 2,362 yards, completing 60.5% of his passes, with 20 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 96. UTSA ranks 95th in rushing, averaging 136 yards per game. Robert Henry Jr. leads the team with 360 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry. Chris Carpenter has 454 receiving yards and one touchdown.

UTSA’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 91.9 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Memphis, they gave up 215 rushing yards on 39 attempts but limited the passing game to 159 yards and forced one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 58.8% of their passes against UTSA, averaging a passer rating of 96.6. UTSA’s defense is ranked 168th in passing yards allowed, giving up 292.6 yards per game through the air.