Planning on watching today's Mean Green and Owls game? Catch the action at FAU Arena in Boca Raton, FL, as the Owls hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 133 points, and Florida Atlantic is favored by -9.5 to win at home against North Texas.

NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN VS FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Texas Mean Green +9.5

This game will be played at FAU Arena at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.

WHY BET THE NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Owls.
  • Even though we have Florida Atlantic winning straight-up, we like North Texas at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

North Texas heads into its road matchup with Florida Atlantic as a 9.5-point underdog. The Mean Green are 12-6 overall, including a 5-1 record in American Athletic Conference play.

North Texas has been an underdog in six of its 18 games this season, going 1-5 in those contests. The Mean Green are 3-3 on the road this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games away from home.

North Texas has an overall ATS record of 10-6 this season, including a road ATS mark of 3-3. Over their last three road games, the Mean Green are 1-2 vs. the spread and they are 6-4 in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, North Texas is 3-3 this season and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

North Texas' over/under record this season sits at 7-8-1, and today's over/under line of 133 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (127.7). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 117 points, which is lower than their season average of 125.4 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Mean Green's offense tallied 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 67.5 points per game. The team's scoring leader is Jason Edwards, who holds an average of 17 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Aaron Scott is averaging 11.9 points per game this season.

This season, the North Texas defense has been impressive, holding the 5th position in the country while permitting an average of 58.7 points per contest. North Texas' three-point defense is currently 19th in the country at 4.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.6% of their shots vs. North Texas.

Will the Owls Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Florida Atlantic enters this game with a record of 16-4, including a 9-1 mark at home. The Owls are on a four-game winning streak, and they have gone 5-1 in American Athletic Conference play.

For the season, Florida Atlantic has been favored in 17 of their 20 games, going 13-4 in those games. They have a scoring margin of +15.4 points per game at home, and they have won their last eight games at home.

As the favorite, Florida Atlantic has an ATS record of 8-9 this season and they are currently 6-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Owls have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Florida Atlantic's over/under record this season is 10-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 152.4 points. Today's over/under line of 133 is lower than their season average and the average over/under line in their games (149.6). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 167 points.

The Florida Atlantic offense is coming off a game in which they scored 69 points vs. Rice. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.6% while connecting on 6 threes. The Florida Atlantic offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.1 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

At this time, the Owls' defense is positioned 169th in the country, permitting 72.2 points per game. The Florida Atlantic defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 56 points and allowed Rice to connect on 7 threes.