Betting on today's Lions and Bears game? Catch the action at Farris Center in Conway, AR, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. North Alabama is favored by -4.5 in this Atlantic Sun conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 152.5 points.


The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +4.5

This game will be played at Farris Center at 7:30 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Lions Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

North Alabama heads into this game as the 4.5-point favorite on the road. So far this season, they have gone 8-6 when favored, and their record in Atlantic Sun games is 7-8.

Over their last three games, the Lions have gone 0-3 on the road. On the season, they have gone 3-12 on the road, and their average scoring margin in these games is -6.9.

North Alabama has gone 13-14 against the spread this season. On the road, they are 7-8 vs. the spread, and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2. As the favorite, the Lions are 6-8 vs. the spread this year and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games as the favorite.

This season, the over/under record for North Alabama is 14-12-1. The average scoring total in their games this season is 151.7 points, which is 3.3 points lower than the average over/under line of 148.4. Today's over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

In contrast to their season average of 76.4 points per game, the North Alabama had a below average performance. They scored 70 points against Bellarmine and had a field goal percentage of 35%. One area that the North Alabama offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 161st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 44%.

Coming into the game, North Alabama will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.0 points per game (268th). North Alabama's three-point defense is currently 108th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. North Alabama.

Will the Bears Defense Show Up at Home?

Central Arkansas will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak when they take on North Alabama. The Bears are 9-22 overall, including a 5-10 mark in Atlantic Sun play. At home, Central Arkansas is just 3-9 this season.

Over the last 10 games, the Bears have gone 4-6 at home. In their most recent game, Central Arkansas lost to Eastern Kentucky by a score of 95-82. This season, the Bears have been the underdog in 28 of their 31 games, going 7-21 in those contests.

Against the spread, Central Arkansas has a record of 15-13-1 this season. At home, their ATS mark is just 4-7-1. Over their last 3 home games, the Bears are 0-3 vs. the spread and they have gone 1-4 ATS over their last 5 home contests. As the underdog this year, Central Arkansas is 15-12-1 vs. the spread.

Central Arkansas' over/under record for the season sits at 13-15-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 150.2 points. Today's over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (151.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record during this span is 1-2.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Central Arkansas' offense scored 82 points against Eastern Kentucky. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.1%, and they went 15/16 from the free-throw line. The team's top scorer is Tucker Anderson, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 14.3, while Elias Cato also maintains a PPG average of 11.5 leading up to the game.

The Bears' defense is presently ranked 293rd nationally, allowing an average of 78.1 points per contest. So far, the Central Arkansas defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.3 times per game (635th).