New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Wednesday, and he is facing off against MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals. This interleague matchup has a first pitch time of 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The forecast for the game features broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 90s.

New York is currently 78-55 and they are in first place in the AL East, while the Nationals are 60-73 overall and 4th in the NL East. The money line odds have the Yankees as the heavy favorite at -195, while the Nationals are sitting at +163. Wednesday’s over/under line is at 9 runs, and AMZP will be televising this one.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +163

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5.1 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10.1 runs and like the over

Washington picked up a 4-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a two-run lead going into the 8th inning, and the Yankees could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +214 on the money line.

Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up three earned runs.

At the plate, the Nationals were led by Jose Tena and Andres Chaparro, who each had two hits and an RBI. Dylan Crews also had a two-hit game for Washington. For the Yankees, the top hitter was Brett Gardner, who went 2/4 with an RBI.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 78-55 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. They lead the Orioles by just one game for the top spot in the division. New York is 22-23 in divisional games and have gone 5-5 across their last 10. They will take on the Nationals today while being 42-26 on the road this season.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 60-48 this season, and they are 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 25-13-4, and they have won two straight series. At home, the Yankees are 36-29 this year.

When betting on the run line, the Yankees have been a better play on the road than at home, going 41-27 on the run line away from Yankee Stadium. They have a run differential of +1.4 runs per game on the road compared to +0.6 runs per game at home. They are also 21-4 on the run line as an underdog this season.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly below the Yankees’ season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Yankees have played in 88 games with over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 10-14-2. The under has hit in each of their last two games.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 14-8 with an ERA of 4.16. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, he pitched well, going six innings and not giving up a run. He allowed four hits, one walk, and one homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Rodón has made 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.79 strikeouts per nine innings.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the league’s top offense in terms of runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 8/23 with six homers in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .333 with 51 homers and 122 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a big season, with 37 homers and 95 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .294.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 60-73 overall, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 18-20 in divisional matchups. The Nationals are hosting the Yankees today with an overall home record of 31-34 compared to 29-39 on the road.

The Nationals were able to pick up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Yankees, taking the game 4-2. New York bounced back to win 5-2 in the second game. So far this year, the Nationals have been the underdog in most of their games, and they are 48-62 in those matchups, including 23-26 at home. Washington’s overall series record is 17-22-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 75-58 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 40-28 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 64-46 against the run line. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.4, while it’s -3.6 in games they lose.

Washington’s combined run average is 8.9, and their over/under record is 64-64. When the over/under line is set at 9, their record is 13-16-3. The over has hit in 22 of their games this season, accounting for 16.5% of their games. Their under streak is at 5 games.

Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back further, Gore has allowed five earned runs in three of his last four outings. His record for the season is 7-11, and his ERA is 4.51. Opponents have hit .272 off Gore this season. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 9.57 strikeouts per nine innings.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which has them 21st in the league. They are also just 24th in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .378. However, they have been a tough team to strike out and are batting a collective .244, which is 11th in the MLB.

Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 63 RBIs and is batting .292 overall. He has also gone deep 15 times. CJ Abrams has 18 homers this season, but is batting just .245. Jacob Young and Jose Tena have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Young going 9/24 in his last seven games and Tena going 8/27.