Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

The Red Sox are the betting favorite heading into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Blue Jays, with their money line odds sitting at -151. The Blue Jays are +129 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.

First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 PM ET, and SNET will be televising this AL East matchup. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays, and the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello. Toronto is 65-69, while the Red Sox are 68-64 and are 3rd in the AL East.

BOSTON RED SOX VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -151

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston picked up a 6-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their final run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -136 on the money line.

Cooper Criswell only went 3 1/3 innings for the Red Sox but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Greg Weissert got the win out of the bullpen. Yariel Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up six runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu each had two hits and an RBI for Boston. Will Wagner went 3/4 with a home run for the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 65-69 overall, and they are 13.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 5th in the division and have gone 19-25 against other AL East teams. The Blue Jays will be on the road today, and they are 31-36 on the road compared to 34-33 at home.

As the road underdog, the Blue Jays have gone 18-29 this year, and they are 24-42 as the underdog overall. Toronto has been good as the favorite, going 41-27 this season. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 15-21-5, and they are currently tied in this series vs. the Red Sox.

The Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 68-66 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 43-24 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-29 on the run line. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Toronto Blue Jays’ game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 9.5 runs. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 72-59 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-4. Only 1 of their games this season has had an over/under line set higher than 9.5 runs, accounting for just 0.7% of their games.

Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 9-12 with an ERA of 4.41. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Bassitt has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.48 walks compared to 8.69 strikeouts.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, as he is batting .322 with 27 home runs and 87 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. has also been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last six games. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .221 for the season and only .182 in his last six games.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also just 19th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .241. Toronto’s offense is coming off a good stretch, as Addison Barger has gone 7/23 in his last six games with two homers, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is on a four-game hitting streak.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 68-64 overall and 9.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are also 3rd in the division, sandwiched between the Rays and Orioles. So far, they have gone just 17-17 in AL East matchups. Boston is 30-37 at home this year but has been better on the road, going 38-27.

As the favorite, the Red Sox are 35-30 this year and 33-34 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 21-15-5, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Blue Jays. Looking back at their last 10 games, the Red Sox are just 4-6.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s best to do so when they are on the road. They are 38-27 against the run line away from Fenway Park this season, compared to just 23-44 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog (39-28) than as the favorite (22-43). Their average run differential in games they win is +3.9, while it’s -4.0 in games they lose.

When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs for their games. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.7 runs, and their over/under record is 69-56 overall. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 12-13 in those games. So far this season, 15 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, accounting for 11.4% of their games. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and 69.7% of their games have had lines set lower than 9.5 runs.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 4.95 ERA. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.43, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Bello took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up more than one earned run in three straight outings. Bello has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4.68 ERA compared to 6.66 at home.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 5th in runs per game at 4.9 and are among the league leaders in both home runs and batting average. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Boston is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 28th in the league in that category.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/24 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 and is 3rd on the team with 68 RBIs. Rafael Devers is the team’s leading home run hitter with 28 and is batting .290. Devers is also on a three-game hitting streak.