New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 5/26/24
First pitch for Sunday’s Yankees vs. Padres interleague matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The Padres are looking to gain some ground on the Dodgers in the NL West, as they are 3rd in the division with a record of 27-28. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 37-17 and they are currently on a four-game winning streak.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Padres at +105. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on YES. Clarke Schmidt is starting for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Joe Musgrove for the Padres.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -124
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, May 26th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS PADRES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all New York in the last game of this series, as the Yankees took down the Padres by a score of 4-1. The Yankees offense only had one more hit than the Padres and struck out 13 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +104 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Marcus Stroman for the Yankees and Dylan Cease for the Padres. Stroman only went six innings but didn’t give up a run and picked up a win. Cease struggled, giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
San Diego’s only run came in the 8th inning when Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a solo homer. Tatis finished the game 1/4 while the rest of the Padres lineup combined for just three hits.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 37-17 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York has won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups. The Yankees have been good both at home (18-8) and on the road (19-9) this year.
As the road team today, the Yankees have an overall series record of 12-2-2 this year. They have also won six straight games as the road favorite. This season, the Yankees are 27-13 as the favorite and 10-4 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 17-6 in day games.
The Yankees are 18-10 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in six straight games. They are 31-23 overall, with an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game. They are 20-20 against the run line as the favorite and 11-3 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is higher than the average over/under line for Yankees games this season, which is set at 8 runs per game. The Yankees have played 11 games this season with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 13-9. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 23-29.
Right-hander Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 2.59 ERA. In his 10 appearances, Schmidt has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Schmidt’s last outing came on May 21st, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
So far this season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Yankees are also the league’s top-scoring offense.
Right fielder Juan Soto and center fielder Aaron Judge have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Soto’s 14 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Judge leading the league with 17 home runs. Judge has gone 10/28 over his last eight games with five homers and nine RBIs. Soto has also gone deep five times in this stretch, batting .355.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego will be hosting the Yankees for the third game of their series, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 27-28 overall. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 12-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 10-18 this year, but they have been good on the road, going 17-10. As the home underdog, the Padres are just 1-6 this season, and they are 11-12 as the underdog overall. San Diego’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won two straight series.
When betting on the Padres’ run line, it’s best to do so when they are on the road. San Diego is 21-6 against the run line away from Petco Park, compared to just 8-20 at home. The Padres have lost five straight games against the run line at home and are just 2-5 in their last seven games as the favorite.
The Padres have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 29-25, and they have gone 8-5 when the line is set at 8.5 runs. Overall, 56.4% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, and they have played 11 games with higher lines than that.
Joe Musgrove will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Padres vs. the Yankees today. In that May 21st start, he took the loss, going just three innings and giving up two earned runs, one homer, and three walks. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 6.14. Opponents are batting .299 off the right-hander this season. Musgrove has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 7.98 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 3.07 walks per nine innings.
San Diego’s offense has been very good on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. However, they have struggled at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.4 runs per contest. The Padres are 5th in the league in batting average and have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Luis Arraez has been on fire for the Padres of late, going 15/31 in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .333, which is the best mark on the team. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are the Padres’ top home run hitters, with 8 and 9 homers, respectively. However, Tatis Jr. is batting just .244 for the season and has gone just 5/29 in his last seven games.