Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/26/24
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Cubs and Cardinals facing off in an NL Central matchup. The Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 27-25, while the Cardinals have won three straight and four overall, putting them 3rd in the division at 24-26.
ESPN is carrying tonight’s TV coverage, and the money line odds have the Cardinals as the favorite at -136 compared to the Cubs at +116. Sunday’s forecast in St. Louis calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Javier Assad is starting for the Cubs, while Sonny Gray goes for the Cardinals.
CHICAGO CUBS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +116
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:10 ET on Sunday, May 26th.
HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
St. Louis picked up a 7-6 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a late rally, scoring four runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Cubs, they scored three runs in the 4th and added two more in the 9th.
Miles Mikolas started for the Cardinals and went six innings while giving up three runs and striking out six. JoJo Romero got the win out of the bullpen, and Ryan Helsley got the save. Jameson Taillon only went 5 2/3 innings for the Cubs, giving up three earned runs on nine hits.
Lars Nootbaar was the difference for the Cardinals, as he went 3/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Nolan Gorman and Paul Goldschmidt each had two hits and drove in a run. As for the Cubs, Mike Tauchman went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Cubs Records & Stats
Chicago is 27-25 overall this season, and they are 3.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs have lost three straight games, and they dropped the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 5-6 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Cubs have gone 15-11, and they are just under .500 at 12-14 on the road. Chicago has dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 7-7-2 this year. As the underdog, the Cubs are 15-16 this year, and they are 8-12 as the road underdog. So far, they are 12-9 when favored.
Chicago has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 16-10. The Cubs have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 21-10 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Cubs have an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. Their O/U record for the season is 22-28, and when the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, they have a record of 6-7. So far this season, 61.5% of their games have had an O/U line set higher than 7.5 runs.
Javier Assad has made 10 starts this season and has yet to take a loss, coming in with a record of 4-0 and ERA of 1.70. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.81 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Braves, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Assad has been particularly effective at home, with an ERA of 1.47 compared to 2.13 on the road.
Christopher Morel has been a big power threat for the Cubs this season, as he is 8th in the league with nine home runs, but he is batting just .206 overall and has gone 4/21 in his last seven games. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers, but Bellinger is hitting just .247 and Busch has gone 1/15 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Cubs are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting a collective .228, which is 20th in the MLB. Nico Hoerner is batting .263 for the season and has gone 3/15 in his last four games. He has two home runs for the season.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is hosting the Cubs today with a record of 24-26, which has them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 5.5 games in the division. The Cardinals have gone just 2-6 in divisional games this year.
The Cardinals have won four straight games, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall. St. Louis has also won three straight series, and their overall series record is 8-8 this year.
When the Cardinals win, they do so by an average of 2.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 25-25, and they are 13-11 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 15-9 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 10-16.
The St. Louis Cardinals are hosting the Chicago Cubs with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 24-24. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Cardinals have gone over the total in 9 of 12 games. Overall, 72% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Sonny Gray has been pitching well for the Cardinals this season, coming into the game with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.87. In his eight starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray’s most recent outing came against the Orioles, where he picked up the win after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Gray has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.11 compared to 4.95 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 25th in the majors in scoring at 3.9 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .311 is also 13th in the MLB. St. Louis has been one of the worst power-hitting teams in the league so far, as their collective ISO of .129 is 19th in the league, and they are 14th in home runs.
Over his last four games, Nolan Gorman has gone 4/10 with a home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .215, but his eight home runs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Brendan Donovan has also been a solid power threat for St. Louis, as he has four homers and 25 RBIs, which is the top mark on the team. Masyn Winn is on a 12-game hitting streak and has gone 7/15 in his last four games.