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Betting against the public is the epitome of intensity in the gambling world. What are the odds and who is picking who? Everyone believes they have all the answers but then they start second-guessing and choose the safe pick a.k.a the popular pick. Those who stick to their conviction believe they have the advantage because they <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-what-is-contrarian-betting/">bet against the public</a> who most of the time are uninformed and misguided.

Real Facts vs Fake News

From the outside, it seems sensible to use this strategy fairly often because if the popular pick won every time then there would be no sportsbooks in business. Any sort of house or dealer tries their best to get some of the pie especially when odds are 50/50 and they do their job well. They can’t let the free-thinkers make them look foolish either. So usually they will survey the area and play a little bit on both sides

When the common choice is made clear, the bookies usually end up on top. If they’re the ones making all the money, why would you not align with them? Like they say: “the house always wins” and the worst thing that can happen is you end up like the rest of those who didn’t pick the correct side.

You can see this strategy firsthand in everyday life. Ask someone how they feel about two opponents, one of which is the obvious choice to win. They look at you in confusion as if the person/team they pick has never been beaten before. At the end of the day, most bettors enter the life because they were fans initially and have a stake in it already. It is everyone’s dream to watch their team win while getting rich and it’s seemingly easy money if you just choose the best team… or so they think.

With this in mind, the bookies can adjust accordingly and shift their lines to put themselves in a position to cash out as much as they can and the security of the common man not doing any research to realize this. The really obvious picks will adjust even more and raise the stakes higher for those enough to bet the opposite.

People Lie – Numbers Don’t

In all sports, home court advantage is seen as a decent metric for telling which team will win. This proves false especially in the NBA which is good news for contrarian bettors. Road teams have won 51% of the time since 2005. What’s even better is that when this is ignored by the public, the record improves. Teams in the middle of a long road trip do the best. During that time period so long as they receive less than 1/3 of the spread, win almost 60% of the time.

In the college world, March Madness upsets have made people literal millionaires overnight. In the regular season on the more heavily-bet games, going opposite of the public has proven a good choice as 56% of the time it’s the better choice. It’s impossible to adopt a system that is invincible due to the inevitable fact that a market correction will be made. However, going <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-what-is-public-money/">opposite of the public</a> bet is a strategy that’s proven lucrative and has fared well so far.

Betting Against The Public

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Thursday's matchup between the White Sox and Twins is set for 1:10 from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins come in with a record of 10-13 and will be sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound vs. a White Sox club that is just 3-21 and starting Michael Soroka. On the money line, the Twins are the heavy favorite at -252, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

Chicago is currently in last place in the AL Central, while the Twins are in fourth. Looking to extend their winning streak to seven games, the Twins have won six in a row. As for the White Sox, they have lost 10 straight.<h3>CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: OVER 7.5 RunsThis game will be played at Target Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, April 25th.<h3>HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS TWINS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul>It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the White Sox by a score of 6-3. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the White Sox and struck out 13 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -207 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Joe Ryan for the Twins and Garrett Crochet for the White Sox. Ryan only went six innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Crochet was tagged for five runs in four innings of work.

Minnesota's two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as Willi Castro, Christian Vazquez, Max Kepler, and Manuel Margot each had two hits and combined for five RBIs. Ryan Jeffers also had a two-hit game for the Twins.<h3>White Sox Records & Stats</h3>As the White Sox are on the road today vs. the Twins, they are looking to snap a six-game losing streak, and they have an overall record of 3-21. Chicago is in 5th place in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 14 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 2-14 against other teams in the AL Central.

Chicago has lost five straight series and have an overall series record of 0-6-1. When playing at home, the White Sox are 2-9 compared to 1-12 on the road. They have also really struggled as the underdog, going 3-21.Chicago is 9-15 against the run line this season, including a 4-9 mark on the road. The White Sox have been outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game this season, and their run line record as the underdog is 9-15. Their run line record at home is 5-6, and they have a run line losing streak of one game on the road.Chicago White Sox games have been trending towards the over this season, with their over/under record sitting at 10-13. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and their over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in six of their 23 games. In those games, the over/under record is 2-4. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 66.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.Michael Soroka will be making his 5th start of the season for the White Sox, and he is still looking for his first win. He has taken the loss in each of his first 3 outings, and in his most recent start, he gave up 5 runs to the Phillies. Soroka has given up 1 home run in each of his last 2 starts.So far this season, the White Sox are averaging just 2.2 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 1.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .189, and their on-base percentage of .263 and slugging percentage of .292 are both the worst in the league.

Chicago's top power hitter so far has been Gavin Sheets, who has three home runs and 10 RBIs, but he is batting just .246 for the season. Paul DeJong and Eloy Jiménez also have three homers apiece, but DeJong is batting just .204, and Jiménez is hitting only .195. Nicky Lopez has gone 7/21 over his last seven games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.<h3>Twins Records & Stats</h3>Minnesota comes into today's game vs. the White Sox having won three straight games, and they are 10-13 overall this season. In the AL Central, the Twins are in 4th place and trail the Guardians by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 8-7 against other teams in the AL Central.

The Twins have an overall series record of 1-4-2, and they have lost two straight series. As the favorite, Minnesota is 9-5 this year and 1-8 as the underdog. They have also won three straight games as the home team.The Twins have been a tough team to predict against the run line this season, as they are just 10-13 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 7-5 against the run line. They have been favored in 14 games and have gone 7-7 against the run line in those contests. They have been outscored by an average of -0.6 runs per game this season.Minnesota's over/under record for the season is 10-13, and the over has hit in two straight games. The Twins' games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today's game is set at 7.5 runs. In the 23 games they've played this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 or higher in 16 of them, which is a rate of 69.6%. Simeon Woods Richardson will be making his first start of the season at home against the White Sox. In his first start of the year, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 5. He did give up a pair of hits and walks, but he was able to limit the damage and pick up the win.Minnesota's offense has been struggling this season, as they are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. The Twins do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Byron Buxton, who is hitting .323 over his last nine games.

Edouard Julien leads the Twins with five home runs this season, but he is batting just .197 for the year. Ryan Jeffers has also been a bright spot for the Twins, as he is hitting .273 with three homers and a team-high 12 RBIs. Jeffers is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/31 over his last 10 games.

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/25/24

From Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, we have the Mets and Angels facing off in an interleague matchup. The Mets are 57-51 this season, while the Angels are 47-62. Tyler Anderson is starting for the Angels, and the Mets are sending Paul Blackburn to the mound.

New York is currently 3rd in the NL East, while the Angels are 4th in the AL West. The money line odds have the Mets as the favorite, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. This evening's forecast in Anaheim calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s.<h3>LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline +118This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim at 9:38 ET on Friday, August 2nd.<h3>HOW TO BET THE METS VS ANGELS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Angels winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Angels to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><h3>Mets Records & Stats</h3>The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with an 8-3 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite at +106 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Twins scored five times in the third.

Luis Severino had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Mets also wasted a big game from Mark Vientos, who homered in the second inning, going 1/3.The Mets are on the road today vs. the Angels, and they are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Overall, the Mets are 57-51, and they are 20-16 in divisional games. New York's record is good for 3rd place in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are just above .500 at 30-29 this season. They have been a bit better on the road, coming in with a record of 27-22. As the road favorite, the Mets are 12-10 this season and 35-28 as the favorite overall. New York has won two straight as the favorite and are 3-0 as the road favorite.On the road, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line, going 27-22. They've won three straight against the run line on the road and are 27-18 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it's -3.4 in losing games.When the New York Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs for their game against the Los Angeles Angels. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-47 overall. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 4-6-3, and this is just the 11th time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for a Mets game.New York is sending Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Angels, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 4.41. So far this year, he has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .226 off the right-hander. Blackburn has turned in four quality starts, and his ERA on the road is 8.49 compared to 1.51 at home. In his most recent outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight outings.Mark Vientos has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, as he has gone 6/24 in his last seven games, with three homers and seven RBIs. Vientos is also on a four-game hitting streak. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both hit 22 homers this season, which is good for 1st on the team and 9th in the league. Lindor is batting .254, while Alonso is hitting .242.

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are near the top of the league in home runs and have the 8th best team on-base percentage in the league.<h3>Angels Records & Stats</h3>The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rockies scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Los Angeles was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.

Carson Fulmer put together a good start for the Angels, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Angels couldnjson't close things out, and Hans Crouse took the loss out of the bullpen. The Angels also wasted a big game from Mickey Moniak, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.Los Angeles is 47-62 overall, putting them 4th in the AL West. They trail the Astros by 9.5 games in the division and are 17-18 in AL West games. The Angels lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies, dropping the series 2-1.

At home, the Angels are 24-34 this season and 23-28 on the road. One thing to note is that the Angels have won four straight games as the underdog. As the underdog this season, the Angels are 41-50 compared to 6-12 as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 10-23-2, and they have lost two straight series.When betting the Angels on the run line, it's been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 55-36 against the run line in those games. They are just 5-13 vs. the run line as the favorite. The Angels' average run margin is -0.9, and they are 60-49 vs. the run line overall. They are 31-27 vs. the run line at home and 29-22 vs. the run line on the road. The Angels have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog, but they have failed to cover in their last two games at home.The Angels host the Mets tonight in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Angels have played in 78 games with lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and they have played in 11 games with higher over/under lines than 9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 55-51, and their average combined run total for the season is 9.0 runs per game.Left-hander Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Angels today as he faces off against the Mets at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 2.96 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .206 off Anderson this season, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Anderson took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking a loss. Anderson's ERA at home is 4.12 compared to 2.1 on the road.For the season, the Angels are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 16th in the league, and have the 18th most home runs in the league.

Logan O'Hoppe has been one of the Angels' top hitters this season, as he is batting .280 with a team-leading 16 home runs. He has also gone 9/29 in his last seven games. Taylor Ward and Jo Adell are also tied for the team lead with 16 homers, but Ward is hitting just .226 this season, and Adell is batting only .193.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Prediction 8/2/24

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