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LSU was an emphatic winner last night with the spotlight pick, so we’re 2-1 this week heading into a busy Thursday card. A lot of mid-major conferences are in action this evening and that makes for a lot of good betting value on the board. Several games have been canceled or postponed tonight, unfortunately, so we have to work around that, but that is the nature of the beast this year with COVID still lingering.

There is a total I really like in college hoops tonight and that game will be the one in the spotlight for us tonight. That is the game between Eastern Kentucky and Belmont down in the Ohio Valley Conference. Belmont is looking to improve to 15-0 in OVC play and should do so as an 11.5-point favorite against EKU. The total on the game sits at 159.5 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bovada"><strong>Bovada Sportsbook</strong></a>.
<h3><strong><u>Eastern Kentucky</u></strong><strong><u> Colonels</u></strong></h3>
Spoiler alert. Eastern Kentucky is third in the nation in adjusted tempo. The Colonels like to push the pace whenever possible and they’ve played all of their games this season to at least 72 possessions. They’ve had many that have gone much higher than that. This is a pretty good EKU team as well. They suffered home losses in step-up games to Austin Peay and Murray State and Morehead State, but properly handled their affairs against the lesser teams in the league.

Belmont is not a lesser team. This does indeed look like a spot where Eastern Kentucky could get blown out. Those three losses were by 13, 15, and 12, so it is pretty interesting to see this line come down a little bit from the 12.5 it opened. The Colonels don’t really stand out offensively from the field. They are 176th in 3P% and 187th in 2P%. One thing that they do really well is take care of the basketball. They rank 56th in TO% on offense.

Eastern Kentucky likes to shoot threes. In conference play, the Colonels are second at 36.3% on triple tries and they are third in 3P Rate at 42.4%, which means that over 42% of their shot attempts are threes. They’ve continued to take good care of the basketball in OVC play, so they’ve gotten up a lot of those three-point shots. They actually aren’t an overly efficient offense, but rack up points with volume.

Defensively, Eastern Kentucky forces a lot of turnovers. The Colonels are first in the OVC in TO% on defense at 24.4% and fifth nationally at 25.1% for the season. One big area of weakness on defense is that the Colonels allow a lot of offensive rebounds.
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<h3><strong><u>Belmont</u></strong><strong><u> Bruins</u></strong></h3>
Casey Alexander’s transition from Lipscomb of the Atlantic Sun to Belmont of the Ohio Valley has gone really well. Alexander heads into this game with a 29-3 record in conference games and a 46-8 record overall. Belmont’s offensive efficiency has been a sight to see. Sure, Belmont has played the 327th-ranked schedule, but all you can do is play the teams on the schedule.

The Bruins are second in the nation in eFG% on offense at 59.4%. They are second nationally at 62.2% on two-point shots and 46th in 3P% at 37%. They are a really special offensive team that, like Eastern Kentucky, takes good care of the basketball. Even though both of these teams force a lot of turnovers, we may not fully see that on display in this game.

Belmont is also 61st in the nation at the free throw line at 74.4%. The schedule has provided a boost, but Belmont is also blowing teams away. The Bruins lost 96-83 to Samford back on December 5 for their only loss. Since then, they’ve failed to win by double digits only four times in 17 games. One of those wins was by nine. You can look down on Belmont for the schedule, but they are still 13-6 against the spread, so they’ve outperformed expectations.

Belmont moves at a pretty quick pace. When they’ve played tighter games, like the ones against Austin Peay and Murray State on the road last month, they did slow down a bit and possessions became a little more important. Belmont has also gotten into the high 80s a lot and most projections have them in that range again tonight.
<h3><strong><u>Pick &amp; Analysis</u></strong></h3>
I think this will be a fun game for Belmont. They go through the motions a lot because they blow teams out. They’re first in 3P% and 2P% in OVC play. EKU is second in 3P%. We have the potential for lots of points in this game and I think Alexander will allow his Bruins to run with the Colonels. I’d expect to see this game in the upper 70s in possessions.

With two good offensive teams, especially Belmont, this game has the potential for lots of points. If EKU can keep it closer, as the line move suggests, it should work some free throws into the end-game situations as well. I’m not sure we’ll have to rely on that, but this looks like a track meet.
<h4><strong>Pick: Over 159.5</strong></h4>
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Eastern Kentucky at Belmont College Basketball Free Pick & Prediction 2/11/21

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<p>The Cardinals and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and features a Cardinals club that is 15-22 compared to the Brewers at 22-15. Robert Gasser is starting for the Brewers, while the Cardinals are going with Lance Lynn.</p>

<p>Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Brewers are the favorite at -138. If you're looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by MLBN.</p><h3>MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -138</p><p>This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, May 10th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Brewers winning by a score of 7 to 6</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up a 7-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee's offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Cardinals got on the board with one run in the 3rd and didn't score another run until putting up one in the 5th.</p>

<p>Tobias Myers only went four innings for the Brewers but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Sonny Gray struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up six runs in five innings of work. He took the loss.</p>

<p>Christian Yelich and William Contreras each had three hits and two RBIs for the Brewers' offense. Rhys Hoskins and Jake Bauers each homered. Lars Nootbaar hit the only home run for the Cardinals, going 1/5.</p><h3>Cardinals Records & Stats</h3><p>St. Louis is on a five-game losing streak, and they are 15-22 overall this season. The Cardinals trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central and are 0-4 in divisional games this year. So far, they are just 6-11 at home compared to 9-11 on the road.</p>

<p>So far, the Cardinals have really struggled in day games, going 5-14 this season. St. Louis has dropped three straight games on the road, and they are 6-8 as road underdogs this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 5-7 and have dropped three straight series.</p><p>When the Cardinals are favored, they are just 7-13 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 11-6. Their run line record is 18-19 overall, and their average run differential is -1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 10 of their 20 road games this season, and their average run differential is -0.8 runs per game away from home.</p><p>The St. Louis Cardinals have been involved in games with an average of 8.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 14-22, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 1-4-1. Overall, 51.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.</p><p>St. Louis is sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 3.28. Lynn's WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Lynn has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .243 off Lynn this season, and he has allowed a total of five home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.04 walks compared to 8.33 strikeouts.</p><p>Heading into today's game, the Cardinals are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.4 runs per game. This is also their average both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .217, which is 22nd in the league, and their on-base percentage of .296 is also near the bottom of the league. One of the few bright spots for the Cardinals offense is that they have the 11th fewest strikeouts in the league.</p>

<p>Nolan Arenado has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/18 in his last five games with a homer and four RBIs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Arenado's 20 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .286. Willson Contreras has also been a good run producer this season, as he is 7th in the league with six homers and is batting .280.</p><h3>Brewers Records & Stats</h3><p>The Brewers are 22-15 overall and lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. So far, they have gone 9-5 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has won three straight games at home, and they are 5-3 as the home favorite this year.</p>

<p>So far, the Brewers have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 14-8. At home, they are just above .500 at 8-7. As for how they have fared as the underdog, the Brewers are 13-9 and 9-6 as the favorite. Milwaukee's overall series record is 6-4-2, and they have lost two straight series.</p><p>The Brewers are 19-18 against the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 14-8. They are just 5-10 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home, but as the favorite, they are just 4-11 against the run line.</p><p>The Milwaukee Brewers have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 22-15, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. However, in games where the line has been set at 8 runs, the under has hit in all three games. The Brewers have hit the over in three straight games, and their games have had an over/under line of 8 runs in 62.2% of their games this season.</p><p>Robert Gasser takes the mound for the Brewers in today's game versus the Cardinals. It's his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.</p><p>William Contreras comes into the game as the Brewers' top hitter, with a batting average of .340, and he is also 1st on the team in RBIs (30). Over his last six games, he has gone 8/24. Rhys Hoskins has struggled a bit of late, going just 3/18 in his last five games, but he does have a team-high eight homers. Willy Adames has also been a solid power threat for the Brewers, as he is 2nd on the team with seven homers.</p>

<p>As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at five runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, Milwaukee is 4th in home runs and has the league's 5th best team batting average.</p>

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24

<p>From Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, we have the Mets and White Sox facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Mets at -222 compared to the White Sox at +187, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.</p>

<p>First pitch for this one is set for 8:10 PM ET, and WPIX will be televising this one. Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets, and the White Sox are going with Jonathan Cannon. Chicago is currently on a seven-game losing streak, and their overall record of 31-104 is the worst in the AL Central.</p><h3>NEW YORK METS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: OVER 9 Runs</p><p>This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, August 30th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE METS VS WHITE SOX:</h3><ul><li>We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><h3>Mets Records & Stats</h3><p>New York's last game came in their series vs. the Diamondbacks, where they picked up a 3-2 win. Going into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at +105 on the money line. It was a good start for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 6th.</p>

<p>David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.</p><p>The Mets are 70-64 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York is 22-17 in divisional games this season. They are playing on the road today, where they are 35-31, compared to 35-33 at home.</p>

<p>As the Mets take on the White Sox, they are coming off winning their series vs. the Diamondbacks. New York has an overall series record of 22-16-8 this year, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.</p><p>When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Overall, the Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 64-70, including a 36-30 mark on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 33-23 against the run line, compared to 31-47 as the favorite.</p><p>The New York Mets are on the road today against the Chicago White Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. The Mets have played 130 games this season, and their over/under record is 68-62. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 5-8-4. So far this season, only 11.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.</p><p>New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.17. Looking back at his last outing, Megill came out of the bullpen and went two innings vs. the Twins. He gave up one earned run in the outing and finished with a no-decision. In his previous outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Megill has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 4.21 walks compared to 10.53 strikeouts.</p><p>Heading into today's game, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and they are also 5th in the league in home runs. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a nice 1-2 punch in the lineup, as Alonso leads the team with 29 homers, and Lindor is batting .270 with 28 homers.</p>

<p>Over his last six games, Lindor has gone 8/27 with three home runs and six RBIs. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak. J.D. Martinez is also on a good stretch of play, as he has a four-game hitting streak going.</p><h3>White Sox Records & Stats</h3><p>The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 2-1 loss. Chicago was the +228 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored in the top of the 4th.</p>

<p>Chicago started Nick Nastrini, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on three hits. The White Sox's offense was carried by Andrew Benintendi, who went 1/3 with a homer.</p><p>With a record of 31-104, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 45.5 games. The White Sox have lost seven straight games overall, and they are just 8-38 against other teams in the AL Central this year. Chicago has really struggled at home, going 18-51 and are 13-53 on the road.</p>

<p>Chicago lost the final game of their series vs. the Rangers, meaning they have dropped nine straight games to close out the series. So far, they have an overall series record of 6-36-2, and they have lost 16 straight series. As the underdog, the White Sox are 26-101 this year and 5-3 when favored.</p><p>Chicago has a run line record of 29-40 at home this season, and their average run differential in those games is -1.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and have covered the run line in five of their eight games as the favorite this season.</p><p>The Chicago White Sox are at home today against the New York Mets in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 59-69. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the White Sox are 11-13-2 this season. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in just 3.0% of the White Sox's games this season, with the line usually set lower at 8 runs.</p><p>Jonathan Cannon will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the White Sox today. In his most recent start, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Cannon has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. Overall, he is 2-8 with a 4.57 ERA and has issued just 2.78 walks per nine innings compared to 6.25 strikeouts. Cannon has made six quality starts this year. At home, his ERA is 4.23 compared to 10.06 on the road.</p><p>Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead in home runs, but both players are batting under .240 for the season. Vaughn has gone deep 15 times, while Benintendi has also gone deep 15 times. Benintendi has gone 5/21 in his last seven games, with two homers and six RBIs. Luis Robert Jr. is also near the top of the team's home run leaderboard, with 14 homers, but he is batting just .221 for the season.</p>

<p>As a team, the White Sox are last in the league in home runs and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game. This is also the worst mark in the league. Overall, the White Sox are batting just .220 and have the league's worst on-base percentage and OPS.</p>

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24

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