The Pacers are looking to even up this Eastern Conference first-round series with the Knicks, with New York currently leading 2-1. Tip-off for game four is at 3:30 PM ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. ABC is carrying the game on TV, and the over/under line is at 217.5 points. The Pacers are favored by 5.5 points and are -220 on the money line. A Knicks win pays out at +181.


The Pick: New York Knicks +5.5

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 3:30 ET on Sunday, May 12th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Pacers.
  • Our projections have Pascal Siakam finishing with Pascal Siakam points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pacers finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.1% and knocking down 13 threes.

Indiana picked up a 111-106 win over the Knicks in the most recent game of this series. The Pacers were favored by 7 at home and failed to cover the spread, but the Knicks did cover. Heading into the game, the over/under line was at 221.5 points, and the teams fell just short of that with 217 combined points.

Indiana got off to a good start in this game, outscoring the Knicks 29-20 in the first quarter. New York bounced back in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Pacers 38-34. The Knicks were led by Donte DiVincenzo's 35 points and 7 made threes on 63.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Tyrese Haliburton matched DiVincenzo's 35 points for the Pacers.

Can New York Grab a Win on the Road?

Today, the Knicks are 16-23 as the underdog this season. Currently, their average scoring margin as the underdog is -2.4 points per game. On the road, their ATS record as the underdog is 20-19.

New York's most recent game was also against the Pacers, and they lost by a score of 111-106. The Knicks were 7-point underdogs in that game, giving them an ATS win. The O/U line for that game was 221.5.

For the season, the Knicks have an O/U record of 42-48-1. In their games, the average combined scoring total is 221.2 points, and today's line is set at 217.5.

In the Eastern Conference, the Knicks finished the regular season with a record of 50-32, which is good for 2nd place. On the road, they are 25-20 compared to 31-15 at home.

Currently, the Knicks have an ATS record of 50-40, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 26-18 ATS compared to 24-22 at home.

New York comes into the game as the slowest-paced team in the NBA, averaging 94.8 possessions per game. Despite their slow pace, they are averaging 112.8 points per game, which is 19th in the league. The Knicks have been a little better on the road, averaging 113.9 points per game compared to 111.5 at home.

Jalen Brunson is averaging 35.8 points per game over his last five games, hitting 48.8% of his shots from the field in that stretch. This season, he is averaging 28.7 points per game and has hit 40.1% of his threes. The Knicks will be without Julius Randle, who is averaging 24 points and 9.2 rebounds. Bojan Bogdanovic (15.2 ppg) and OG Anunoby (14.7 ppg) are also out.

On the season, the Knicks are 5th in the league in points allowed per game at 108.5. On the road, they are 8th at 111.1 points per game.

When looking at opponents' scoring vs. the Knicks, they have held teams under their season average 78.0% of the time. However, opponents have scored more than their average in 32.9% of the games vs. New York.

One area where the Knicks have been strong defensively is at the free-throw line, where they are 5th in the NBA in made free throws allowed per game at 20.0.

Will Indiana Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Indiana is favored by 5.5 points in today's game against the Knicks. As the favorite, the Pacers have gone 30-19 this season and have won two straight games as the favorite. Their ATS record as the favorite is 23-26.

At home, the Pacers have an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game. This season, they have gone 30-15 at home and have won nine straight games at home.

Indiana's O/U record for the season is 49-42, and their games have averaged 241.9 points per game. Today's over/under line is set at 217.5, which is lower than their season average of 239.2.

Indiana's last game was also against the Knicks, and they won by a score of 111-106. The Pacers were favored by 7 points in that game, and their ATS record for the season is 48-41.

Overall, the Pacers are 47-35 this season, which is good for 6th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 32-20 and 11-6 against teams in their division.

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA's top-scoring team, averaging 123.3 points per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 125 points per contest. The Pacers are also among the league leaders in pace, averaging 101.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Pacers are the top-shooting team in the league, hitting 50% of their shots from the field.

Looking at Tyrese Haliburton's last five games, he is averaging 21.6 points per game on 49.4% shooting. In these games, he hit 4.2 threes per game. Pascal Siakam has averaged 18 points per game in his last five games while hitting 50.7% of his shots from the field. For the season, Siakam is averaging 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds.

Coming into tonight's game, the Pacers are 27th in the league in points allowed per game at 119.5. Indiana is 26th in the NBA in points allowed per game at home at 117.8. Over their last five games, the Pacers have given up 114 points per contest (17th).

Indiana has done a great job defending the three-point line this season, ranking 1st in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.8%. On the season, opponents have made 10.8 threes per game vs. the Pacers.

One area where the Pacers have struggled this season is at the free-throw line, ranking 30th in made free-throws allowed per game at 25.6.