Game three of this Eastern Conference first-round series between the Knicks and Pacers is set for 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Knicks are currently up in the series 2-0 and are the 2-seed in the East. The Pacers are the 6-seed and are favored by seven points at home. The over/under line is at 222.5, and the Pacers are -284 on the money line compared to the Knicks at +229. ESPN is carrying this one on TV.


The Pick: New York Knicks +7

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:00 ET on Friday, May 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-112 in favor of the Pacers.
  • Our projections have Pascal Siakam finishing with Pascal Siakam points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pacers finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.1% and knocking down 13 threes.

The Knicks won the most recent game of this series by a score of 130-121. New York was favored by 4.5 points heading into the game, and they covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 218.5 points, and the teams easily surpassed that with 251 combined points. The Knicks had a big 3rd quarter, outscoring the Pacers 36-18.

Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby were the top two scorers for the Knicks, with 29 and 28 points, respectively. On the other side, Tyrese Haliburton had a big game for the Pacers with 34 points and hit seven threes. New York shot the ball well from three, making 46.7% of their attempts, and knocked down 14 threes.

Can New York Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

The Knicks have won three straight games and are 50-32 on the season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 15-15 compared to 35-17 against other Eastern Conference teams.

New York has an ATS record of 49-40 for the season, including a 25-18 mark on the road. As underdogs, they are 19-19 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in their last two games as underdogs.

This season, the average combined scoring total in Knicks games is 221.2 points per game, which is lower than today's O/U line of 222.5. The team's O/U record for the season is 42-47-1, and the over has hit in their last four games.

The Knicks' last game was also against the Pacers, and they won by a score of 130-121. New York covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites, and the O/U line for the game was 218.5.

New York comes into the game as the slowest-paced team in the league, averaging just 94.8 possessions. Despite that, they are 19th in scoring at 112.8 points per contest. The Knicks have been slightly better on the road this year, averaging 114.1 points per game compared to their season average of 112.8.

Jalen Brunson has been carrying the Mavericks offense of late, averaging 40 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 51.8% of his shots from the field. Over this stretch, he also averaged 7.8 assists. OG Anunoby has averaged 18.6 points and 8.4 rebounds in his last five games while hitting 39.3% of his threes.

On the season, the Knicks have been one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in points allowed per game at 108.4. They have been especially good at home, where they are giving up just 105.9 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Over their last five games, New York's defense has been a bit leaky, allowing 111.4 points per contest, which is 15th in the league during that stretch. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, they have been 12th over their last five games.

On the season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 76.8% of games vs. the Knicks.

Are Indiana Ready for a Home Win?

Indiana comes into today's game as the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In the Central Division, they are in 3rd place. The Pacers are 32-20 against other teams in the East and 15-15 in non-conference games.

At home this season, the Pacers are 29-15 and have won their last 8 games straight up. Against the spread at home, they are 24-19 compared to 24-21 on the road.

Indiana's O/U record for the season is 49-41, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 242.2 points per game, compared to today's O/U line of 222.5.

In their most recent game, the Pacers lost to the Knicks by a score of 130-121. Indiana was 4.5-point underdogs in that game, and the O/U line was 218.5.

In terms of ATS, Indiana is 48-40 for the season, going 23-25 as the favorite and 25-15 as the underdog. The Pacers have covered the spread in two straight home games.

This season, the Pacers are the NBA's top-scoring team, averaging 123.3 points per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 125.3 points per contest. Indiana's field goal percentage of 50% is the best mark in the league. Looking at their pace, the Pacers are 4th in the league, averaging 101.2 possessions per game.

Over his last five games, Tyrese Haliburton has hit 47.9% of his shots and 41.7% of his threes for an average of 19.4 points per game. He also averaged 7.4 assists in those games. For the season, he is averaging 20.1 points and 10.9 assists. Obi Toppin has hit 60.4% of his shots in his last five games and averaged 15.6 points and 5 rebounds in that stretch. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds for the season.

On the season, the Pacers have struggled on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 27th in points allowed per game at 119.7. However, they have been able to do a good job defending the three-point line, ranking 1st in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.6%. In terms of steals, they are 14th at 7.7 per game.

Indiana has been able to limit their opponents' three-point attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA at just 29.4 per game. In terms of free throws made per game allowed, they are 30th in the league at 25.6.

Over their last five games, the Pacers' defense has struggled, ranking 20th in points allowed at 115.4. During that stretch, they have given up a field goal percentage of 51.3%.