New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24
FOX will broadcast the week eight non-conference matchup between the Saints and Chargers, taking place at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Chargers are the heavy favorite with a money line of -352 and a point spread of -7.5. Kickoff is at 4:05 ET, and the over/under line is set at 40 points.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -7.5
This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS:
- We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 26 to 18
- Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 40 points
Will The Saints Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Heading into week 8, the Saints are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 33-10 home loss to the Broncos in week 7. This dropped New Orleans to 2-5 on the season, leaving them 3rd in the NFC South. Our power rankings have the Saints 18th, and they currently have a 7.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 3.9% chance of winning the division.
New Orleans is 3-4 against the spread this season, with three straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 5-2, with the over hitting in two consecutive games. Saints games have averaged 51 points, while the average line has been 43.2.
Heading into week 8, the Saints are 19th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 9th in the NFL in points per game (25.3) and 21st in passing yards per game (196.6), with 30.7 attempts per game. On the ground, New Orleans is 19th in rushing yards per game, averaging 116.3 yards on 27.9 attempts. They’ve been strong on 3rd down, converting 43.7% of the time, which ranks 6th in the league.
Spencer Rattler took over at QB in week 6, and in week 7, he threw for 172 yards on 25/35 passing. New Orleans struggled on 3rd down, converting just 5 of 17 attempts, but scored on 1 of 2 red zone trips. Cedrick Wilson Jr. led the team with 57 receiving yards on 6 catches, while Kendre Miller rushed for 36 yards on 6 carries.
The Saints’ defense allowed 225 rushing yards on just 35 attempts in their most recent game, a 33-10 loss to the Broncos. Despite this, they held Denver to 164 yards passing and a 61.5% completion rate. New Orleans’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had an -11 differential in quarterback hits.
Offensively, the Saints managed only 10 points and 164 yards. They also allowed Denver to convert 63.6% of their third down attempts.
Are The Chargers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After a week 6 win over the Broncos, the Chargers couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling 17-15 to the Cardinals in week 7. They were 1-point favorites in that game, but the loss dropped them to 3-3 on the season. L.A. is now 3rd in the AFC West with a 2-1 division record and sits 8th in the conference. Our projections give them a 47.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.9% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 8, the Chargers rank 19th in our power rankings. They have a +3.8 scoring margin and are 3-2-1 ATS, including a 3-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 1-5, with their games averaging 31.5 points compared to an average line of 39.7.
Heading into week 8, the Chargers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17.7 points per game, which places them 23rd in the NFL. They are 25th in passing attempts and 24th in passing yards, with 183.7 per game. On the ground, they average 29.2 rushing attempts per game (10th) and 116.3 rushing yards (18th). Despite ranking 15th in red zone attempts, they lead the league with a 107.7% conversion rate.
Justin Herbert threw for 349 yards in week 7, completing 27 of 39 passes without a touchdown or interception. J.K. Dobbins rushed for 40 yards on 14 carries, while Will Dissly led the team with 8 receptions for 81 yards. The Chargers scored 6 points in the 4th quarter against the Cardinals after being shut out in the 1st quarter.
In their 17-15 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers’ defense allowed just 145 passing yards on 14 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 181 yards on the ground across 29 attempts. Arizona finished with 326 total yards, and the Chargers’ defense held them to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate.
Despite their strong pass defense, the Chargers were unable to generate any quarterback sacks and came out on the losing end of the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. They did come up with one interception and limited the Cardinals to a 53.8% completion percentage.