Buffalo Bills vs Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24

FOX will be covering this week eight non-conference matchup between the Bills and Seahawks. The game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle and is set to kick off at 4:05 ET. The Bills are the road favorite with a point spread of -3 and their money line odds are -167. Seattle’s money line odds are +140 and the over/under line is set at 47 points.

BUFFALO BILLS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Seahawks +3

This game will be played at Lumen Field at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 27th.

WHY BET THE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS:

• We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
• Not only do we have the Seahawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 8, the Bills sit atop the AFC East with a 5-2 record, which includes a two-game winning streak. After a week 5 loss to the Texans, Buffalo bounced back with wins over the Jets and Titans. In week 7, they easily handled Tennessee, winning 34-10 at home. The Bills covered the 9.5-point spread in that game, and the 44 combined points were enough to hit the over (O/U line: 41). Buffalo also covered the spread in week 6, narrowly beating the Jets 23-20.

Our projections give the Bills a 97.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 94.1% chance of winning the AFC East. They rank 4th in our NFL power rankings. Buffalo has a +9 scoring margin this season and is 4-3 against the spread. Their O/U record is also 4-3, with the over hitting in each of their last two games.

Heading into week 8, the Bills sit 4th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28.4 points per game. Despite their high scoring, they rank 18th in passing yards (204.7) and 19th in rushing yards (116.3) per game. Buffalo is 27th in passing attempts and 14th in rushing attempts. On 3rd down, they are 25th in the NFL, converting 33.8% of their attempts, and they rank 24th in red zone conversion percentage.

Josh Allen has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 116 in week 7, with 323 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Titans. He had a rating of 127 in week 6 and 56 in week 5. Keon Coleman led the team with 125 receiving yards in week 7, and Ray Davis rushed for 41 yards on 5 carries.

In their 34-10 win over the Titans, Buffalo’s defense allowed just 200 passing yards on 25 completions. They defended the run well, giving up only 89 yards on 24 attempts. The Bills picked off one pass, held the Titans to a 37.5% third-down conversion rate, and recorded three sacks.

Buffalo’s defense also limited Tennessee to 10 points, despite allowing one passing touchdown. The Bills held the Titans to a 62.5% completion rate and won the quarterback hit battle with a +7 differential.

Will The Seahawks Win At Home Over The Bills?

Seattle snapped a three-game losing streak in week 7, taking down the Falcons 34-14 on the road. The Seahawks entered the game as 3-point underdogs, but they came away with a comfortable win, improving their record to 4-3. Despite the victory, they remain 20th in our power rankings and have a 30.3% chance of making the playoffs. We give them a 24.7% chance of winning the NFC West, where they currently sit in first place.

Seattle has an average scoring margin of +2.3 points per game and is 2-4-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record stands at 5-2, with their games averaging 49.1 points. The O/U line for their week 7 matchup with the Falcons was 51.5, and the teams combined for 48 points.

Geno Smith bounced back in week 7 with a passer rating of 110, throwing for 207 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18/28 passing after a 2-interception game in week 6. DK Metcalf led the team with 99 yards on 4 catches, while Kenneth Walker III had 69 rushing yards on 14 carries. Seattle scored 34 points in the win, with 10 coming in the 4th quarter.

Seattle ranks 15th in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL in passing yards per game (270.9) and passing attempts (40). They are 29th in rushing attempts and 26th in rushing yards per game. The Seahawks are 18th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.4% success rate.

Seattle’s defense picked off two passes and held Atlanta to just 1-of-3 in the red zone in their 34-14 win over the Falcons. The Seahawks gave up 155 rushing yards on 32 attempts, but overall, they allowed just 214 passing yards. They also had three sacks and held Atlanta to a 53.3% third-down conversion rate.

Despite giving up some yards on the ground, the Seahawks’ defense made life difficult for the Falcons in key situations. They limited big plays and made it tough for Atlanta to sustain drives, even though they had a bit of success running the ball.