New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-188) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+156) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is set at 220 points.

The Pelicans come into this game as winners of their last three, and they currently sit in 6th place in the Western Conference. The Warriors are also winners of their last three, but they are on the outside looking in at the playoffs, currently sitting in 9th place in the West.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +4.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, April 12th.

WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Warriors.
• Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with Stephen Curry points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 12 threes.

Does New Orleans Stand a Chance on the Road?

The Pelicans have won three straight games and are currently 48-32 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are in 6th place and 2nd in the Southwest Division.

As the underdog, the Pelicans have a scoring differential of just +0.5 points per game. On the road, they are 19-12 as the underdog and have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog.

New Orleans’ ATS record for the season is 42-37, including a 22-18 record on the road. The team has covered the spread in five straight road games.

In their most recent game, the Pelicans defeated the Kings by a score of 135-123. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and the Pelicans were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game.

On average, the Pelicans’ games have finished with 225.7 points per game this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 220, and the team has a season record of 35-45 on the over/under.

When it comes to scoring, the Pelicans are 13th in the league at 115.2 points per game. Interestingly, they are actually a better offensive team on the road, averaging 115.3 points compared to 115.1 at home.

So far this season, New Orleans has outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 18th in the league at 97.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting efficiency, the Pelicans are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also a top-10 team in true shooting percentage. Inside the arc, they are 13th in two-point shooting at 55%.

This season, the Pelicans’ defense is the 8th ranked defense in the NBA at 8th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 65.0% of their games. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pelicans squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.4% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.9% from downtown.

Will the Warriors Come Through as Home Favorites?

Golden State is favored by 4.5 points today and has a record of 36-17 as the favorite. In their last three games, the Warriors have won as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 26-27 against the spread.

In their most recent game, the Warriors defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 100-92. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Golden State was favored by 13 points going into the game.

For the season, the Warriors are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 45-35. In the Pacific Division, they are in 4th place. At home, Golden State has a record of 20-19.

On average, the Warriors’ games have finished with 233 points this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 220, and their games have averaged 231.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Warriors are 43-36 for the season, including a record of 16-22 at home. The team has won two straight games ATS as the underdog.

When playing at home, the Warriors are 11th in the league in scoring at 117.6 points per game. Overall, they are 8th in the NBA at 117.8 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 12th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Warriors have made an average of 14.8 three-pointers per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. In terms of three-point shooting percentage, they are 5th in the league at 38%. From two-point range, Golden State is 14th in the NBA at 54%.

When it comes to offensive rebounding, the Warriors are 5th in the league at 12.2 per game. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the NBA at 29.2 per game.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 17th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.2 points per game. So far this season, the Warriors’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 9th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.6 times per game vs. Golden State.