Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24
At 8:30 ET, the Detroit Pistons (13-67) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (50-30) at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are currently favored by 13 points and have won five straight games. The Pistons have lost six in a row and are 15th in the Eastern Conference.
BSD will broadcast this non-conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 218 points.
DETROIT PISTONS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -13
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, April 12th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-101 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.2% and knocking down 14 threes.
Do the Pistons Have What it Takes on the Road?
In Detroit’s last game, they lost to the Bulls by a score of 127-105. The combined scoring total was 232 points, which was higher than the O/U line of 220.
The Pistons have lost six straight games and are 13-67 on the season, which is 15th in the Eastern Conference. Today, they are 13-point underdogs and have gone 10-62 as the underdog this season.
Detroit’s ATS record for the season is 39-40, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, they are 21-19 against the spread compared to 18-21 at home.
This season, the Pistons have an O/U record of 41-38-1, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 229.4 points.
So far this season, the Pistons are 3-5 as the underdog and have been the underdog in 72 of their 80 games. Today’s O/U line of 218 is lower than the average line of 228.2 in their games.
In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons are in 15th place with a record of 10-41 against other teams in the East. Overall, they are 13-67.
The Pistons are 26th in the league in scoring at 110.1 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 109.9 points per game compared to 110.3 at home.
Detroit has scored below the NBA average in 73.8% of their games this season. They are also currently on a four-game streak of scoring less than their season average.
When it comes to pace, the Pistons are 8th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 23rd at 46%.
So far, the Pistons’ defense is ranked 26th in the league at 119.3 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pistons squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 56.2% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.0% from downtown.
Can Dallas Live Up to the Hype at Home?
The Mavericks have won seven straight games at home and are favored by 13 points today against the Pistons. In their last game, the Mavs covered the spread and have now covered the spread in seven straight home games.
Dallas’ ATS record at home this season is 21-19, and they are 33-17 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have won four straight games and have an average scoring margin of +7.6 points per game.
When looking at their O/U record for the season, the Mavericks are 37-43, and their games have averaged 235.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 218, and 79 of their games have had higher O/U lines than that.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Heat by a score of 111-92. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, so the teams combined for 203 points. Dallas covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
Overall, the Mavericks are 50-30 this season, which is the best record in the Southwest Division. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 5th place.
This season, the Mavericks have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, averaging 14.8 made threes per game (3rd). They have also been one of the most up-tempo teams in the league, ranking 9th in pace at 99.5 possessions per game.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.4 points per game (7th), compared to 117.8 on the road. Overall, they are 5th in the NBA in scoring at 118.6 points per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 48%. However, they have been one of the most efficient teams in terms of true shooting percentage, ranking 8th.
So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th in the league at 115.5 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Mavericks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.4% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.8% from downtown.