New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and New Mexico State Aggies, set to kick off at 2:30 ET from Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro. The Blue Raiders are the -3.5 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 50.5 points. Middle Tennessee has a 3-7 record for the season, while New Mexico State is 2-8 overall.
NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3.5
This game will be played at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium at 2:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:
- We have the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders winning this one by a score of 28 to 20
- Not only do we have the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points
Will The New Mexico State Aggies Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
New Mexico State enters Week 13 with a 2-8 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 133rd in our power rankings ahead of their game against Middle Tennessee.
The Aggies have not been favored in any games this season and have an average scoring margin of -18.4 points per game. Their ATS record is 3-5, with a 2-1 mark at home and 1-4 on the road.
New Mexico State’s over/under record stands at 5-2-1, with their games averaging 56 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly below their average line of 50.9 points.
New Mexico State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 130th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. They are averaging 18.8 points per game, placing them 90th in the nation, and their third-down conversion rate is just 36.1%. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 128th in passing yards per game, with only 114.1 yards on average. They are 92nd in completions, with 10.5 per game, and their completion percentage is 41.8%. Their passer rating is 46, the worst in the country.
Santino Marucci leads the team with 519 passing yards, three touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 48. On the ground, New Mexico State ranks 18th in rushing attempts, averaging 182.1 yards per game. Seth McGowan has rushed for 711 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. PJ Johnson III leads the receivers with 256 yards and one touchdown.
New Mexico State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.2 points per game. In their recent 38-3 loss to Texas A&M, they gave up 38 points and 565 total yards, including 356 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 206.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico State, ranking them 147th in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 256.5 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 57.8% of their passes and posting a 96.9 passer rating.
Are The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Middle Tennessee enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are 0-3 at home this season and rank 127th in our CFB power rankings. The Blue Raiders have not been favored in any of their games so far.
Their average scoring margin is -16.8 points per game, and they are 2-6 against the spread. At home, they are 0-3 ATS, while they’ve gone 2-3 on the road.
This week’s over/under line is set at 50.5 points. Middle Tennessee’s games have averaged 51.2 points, with an average line of 55.6 points. Their over/under record for the season is 3-5.
Middle Tennessee’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.2 points per game, which ranks 94th in the nation. They are also 125th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.3%, and their rushing game has been almost nonexistent, with only 81.4 yards per game on the ground.
The Blue Raiders have leaned heavily on their passing game, ranking 26th in passing attempts and completions, and averaging 260 yards per game through the air. Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,559 yards and has a passer rating of 90. He has 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Omari Kelly leads the team with 811 receiving yards.
Middle Tennessee’s defense has struggled this season, giving up an average of 34 points per game. In their recent 37-17 loss to Liberty, they allowed 37 points, including 311 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, though they did hold Liberty to 114 passing yards and forced one interception.
Opponents have averaged 209.3 rushing yards per game against Middle Tennessee, while quarterbacks have posted a 104.8 passer rating, averaging 247 passing yards per game. The defense has faced 37.8 rushing attempts per game and 29.8 passing attempts.