Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are the -6-point favorites as they host the Sam Houston Bearkats in a week 13 matchup. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET at Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium in Jacksonville. The over/under line is currently at 55.5 points. The game will be broadcast on CBSS, and the money line odds stand at +183 for the Bearkats and -222 for the Gamecocks.

SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS VS JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sam Houston Bearkats +6

This game will be played at Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.

WHY BET THE SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS:

• We have the Jacksonville State Gamecocks winning this one by a score of 29 to 24
• Even though we like the Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Sam Houston Bearkats at +6
• We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points

Will The Sam Houston Bearkats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Sam Houston enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record, sitting at 97th in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible and have a 12.7% chance of winning Conference USA. The Bearkats are 3-1 on the road and 4-1 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in six of their ten games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.6 points per game, and they are 5-4 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 55.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Sam Houston’s over/under record is 3-6, with their games averaging 44.8 points and an average line of 49.9 points.

Heading into week 13, Sam Houston’s offense ranks 105th in our CFB offensive power rankings, scoring 24.7 points per game. They are 28th in rushing, averaging 199.9 yards per game on the ground, and 8th in rushing attempts, with 42.9 per game. Jay Ducker leads the team with 580 rushing yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry.

Quarterback Hunter Watson has thrown for 1,312 yards, with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 81. Sam Houston ranks 120th in passing yards per game. Watson has completed 61.5% of his passes. Simeon Evans leads the receivers with 375 yards and three touchdowns.

Sam Houston’s defense has been solid this season, allowing just 20.1 points per game, which ranks 24th nationally. They’ve given up 125.1 rushing yards per game and 195.2 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 77.4 passer rating and completing 60% of their throws.

In their recent game against Kennesaw State, Sam Houston’s defense allowed 17 points, giving up 250 total yards. They held Kennesaw State to 113 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 137 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Are The Jacksonville State Gamecocks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Jacksonville State enters Week 13 with a 7-3 record and a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They have a 51% chance of winning Conference USA, according to projections. The Gamecocks are 4-1 at home this season and rank 80th in our power rankings.

In five games as the favorite, Jacksonville State is 4-1, and they have a +9.3 average scoring margin this season. Their ATS record stands at 4-3, with a 3-2 mark at home.

This week’s over/under line is 55.5 points. The Gamecocks’ average over/under line is 58.4 points, and their games have averaged 68.1 points, with a +7.6 margin against the spread.

Jacksonville State’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 4th nationally with 261.7 rushing yards per game. They are 5th in rushing attempts, averaging 44.6 per game. Tre Stewart has rushed for 1,216 yards, scoring 19 touchdowns and averaging 6 yards per carry. The Gamecocks are 9th in scoring, with 38.7 points per game, and are 49th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Quarterback Tyler Huff has thrown for 1,912 yards, with 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 95. Jacksonville State is 96th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.3 yards. Cam Vaughn leads the team’s receivers with 517 yards and three touchdowns.

Jacksonville State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29.4 points per game. In their recent game against FIU, they gave up 31 points and 431 total yards, including 258 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Opponents are averaging 186.3 rushing yards per game against Jacksonville State, ranking them 127th nationally. The defense has faced the 34th fewest pass attempts in the country, allowing a 59.1% completion rate and a passer rating of 90.7.