On Sunday, December 31st at 1:00 PM ET, the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots face off at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. CBS will carry the TV coverage for the game. B


The Pick: New England Patriots +12

This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 27-20 in favor of the Bills.
  • Our projections have Bailey Zappe finishing with 259.454 passing yards on 22.198/39.041 passing.
  • The Bills are projected to finish with 385 yards of offense compared to the 319 yards for the Patriots.

Will New England Win on the Road?

This season, the Patriots currently hold an overall record of 4-11, placing them 4th in the AFC-East. They've achieved this record with a 3-8 record as underdogs and 1-3 when favored. The Patriots have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 4-10-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is -7.3.

Offensively, the Patriots have an average of 14.1 points per game, which positions them 29th in the NFL. New England currently sits 18th in passing attempts and has an average of 5.7 yards per attempt (14). They are also ranked 24th in the league with 189.8 passing yards per game.

On the ground, the Patriots have ran the ball an average of 24.7 times per game and are 24th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 3.8 yards per rushing attempt.

On defense, the Patriots are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 21.5 points per game and gaining 306.1 yards per contest.

Can Buffalo Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Having played 15 games, the Bills have a record of 9-6. This puts them at 2nd in the AFC-East and 6th in the AFC. The Bills have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 6-9. Their average scoring margin for this season is +8.5.

On offense, the Bills are at 26.9 points per game, putting them 6th in the NFL. In this week's game, Buffalo's passing game is currently 9th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 16th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 34.1 passes each game.

The Bills are running the ball an average of 29.3 times per game and currently hold the 7th rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.3 yards.

The Buffalo defense has recorded 24 takeaways this season, which places them 3rd in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 18.4 is 4th in the league while giving up 310.2 yards per contest.