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Detroit Tigers

They’re not grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr-eat. At all. By any means. But, I have to say, as I see how this season is setting up, I won’t be surprised if I wind up with a lot of Tigers tickets as the season goes along. I think that there is a lot of hidden value in this team if we are responsible about it. I’m also not going to be surprised if the Tigers finish third in the AL Central. That’s right, I said it.

This was a bad team last season, but there were a lot of guys learning on the job and a lot of pitching hiccups to deal with. Also, Miguel Cabrera basically missed the entire year again. In a perfect world, Miggy is back, working on the hidden ball trick and hitting missiles off of pitchers. That would go a long way in aiding my Tigers positions.

This was a team that lost 98 games last season, but there are some signs of life. The Tigers were 45-74 against right-handed starters, but 19-24 against left-handed starters. Also, the Tigers were 43-45 against teams with losing records. They were 21-53 against teams .500 or better. Detroit was also 38-43 at home and 26-55 on the road.

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Money Line Spots

Which means you know where I’m going with this. The Tigers at home against bad teams will be a pretty popular play for me this season. Comerica Park has certain advantages for the Tigers and disadvantages for other teams. The outfield is a vast expanse of territory. It is huge. As a result, the Tigers ranked 28th in home runs.

I mentioned how well Rogers Centre in Toronto played on fly balls and line drives and how that was a reason to back the Jays at home in certain spots. Well, Comerica Park ranked 29th in wOBA on fly balls and line drives. Yes, this is a pedestrian Tigers rotation, but guys like Matt Boyd and Matt Moore have a much better chance at home than on the road. We’ll see if Michael Fulmer can get healthy, but these conditions should even help Jordan Zimmermann and wild card Tyson Ross.

Overall, the Tigers staff was 23rd in ERA, 25th in FIP, and 25th in xFIP. The Tigers were 20th in home ERA, but more than half a run lower than on the road. The Tigers were .29 runs better in FIP at home.

On the other side, anytime the price is right, we’ll be looking to fade the Tigers on the road.

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Totals Spots

The Tigers were a stone cold under team. They were 83-71-8 to the under. Tigers home games averaged 8.55 runs. With a pitching staff that bad, we can assume that the markets aren’t taking home field advantage into the equation enough and the Tigers likely stayed under a lot of 9 and 9.5 totals. Per the KillerSports database, the under was 42-34-5 at Comerica Park with an average line of 8.8 runs. I would expect that to be even better this season.

The Tigers actually allowed 299 runs over their last 54 games of the season. Things really fell apart badly in that area. Maybe we get some early-season value, especially at home and especially when the weather is still cold in Motown.

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Individual Players to Watch

Matt Boyd – I highlighted Matt Boyd at length in my season win total preview. That was one guy I had to elaborate on. Boyd had a 1.96/.257/.347 slash against at home with a .263 wOBA and a 2.63 ERA in his 78.2 innings. On the road, Boyd had a .250/.324/.462 slash against with a .338 wOBA and a 5.89 ERA in his 91.2 innings. I think he can be better on the road this year, as he had a 4.71 xFIP and dealt with a 66.7 percent LOB%, but he’ll clearly be a spot play guy in big parks or at home.

Matt Moore – I’m really intrigued by Matt Moore here. He was in Texas last season, which is an awful ballpark for a guy like him. He posted a 6.79 ERA with a 5.25 FIP and a 5.06 xFIP in 102 innings. What gives me pause is that Moore was really bad for San Francisco in 2017 over 174.1 innings with a 5.52/4.75/5.10 pitcher slash.

If we dig deeper, we see that Moore allowed a .318 wOBA at then AT&amp;T Park with a 4.21 ERA over 98.1 innings. On the road, he allowed a .396 wOBA with a 7.22 ERA in 76 innings. I can’t help but wonder if we see Moore post numbers like that at Comerica Park. It isn’t quite on the level of now Oracle Park as a haven for pitchers, but it is probably the best park in the AL at this point. I think we may get some really nice underdog numbers at plus money on Moore at home to play some 1st 5 bets.

Miguel Cabrera – What will Miguel Cabrera provide in 2019? We’re talking about some major injury issues the last two years for Miggy. Last season’s ailment was a ruptured biceps tendon. Cabrera slashed .299/.395/.448 in 38 games before his season ended. He had a 128 wRC+. Miggy’s not going to return to the elite hitter he once was, but before his season ended, he had a 14 percent BB% and he increased his exit velocity from 91.3 mph in 2017 to 94.4 mph in 2018. There’s some thunder left in that bat. His presence would obviously help this Tigers lineup a ton and make me a lot more excited to play the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers 2019 MLB Season Betting Tips

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Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Predators versus the Ducks? The puck drops at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA. The Predators come into this Western conference matchup as the -1.5 goal favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 6 goals.<h3>NASHVILLE PREDATORS VS ANAHEIM DUCKS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Anaheim Ducks +1.5This game will be played at Honda Center at 8:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.<h3>WHY BET THE ANAHEIM DUCKS:</h3><ul><li>In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Ducks winning this one 4-3.</li><li>We like the Ducks on the moneyline (+132)</li><li>The Ducks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5</li></ul><h3>Will the Predators Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?</h3>On the season, the Predators have a record of 31-25-2 and have won four straight games. In the Western Conference, Nashville sits in 8th place and is 4th in the Central Division. On the road, the Predators have gone 17-10-2.

When favored, Nashville has gone 13-9-0 this season and has won two straight games as the favorite. In their last ten games, the Predators have gone 5-5 and are 19-18 against Western Conference opponents.On the road this season, the Predators have a puck line record of 18-11 and an average scoring margin of +.3 goals per game. Nashville has gone 5-5 against the puck line in their last ten games and 31-27 for the season.

So far, the team has 17 wins by multiple goals and a puck line record of 23-13 as the underdog. In their last three road games, the Predators have a puck line record of 3-0 and a road puck line mark of 7-3 in their last ten games. On average, Nashville's games have finished with 6.3 goals per game. The season's average over/under line stands at 6.2. In total, the Predators come in with an over/under record of 26-26-6.When looking at their past three road matchups, Nashville has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.For their offensive performance, the Predators come in averaging 3.1 goals per game this season, which is 17th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 12th in the league. Looking at how the Predators' offense is performing during power plays, they are 14th in power play goals and 10th in shorthanded goals.Nashville's leading goal scorer is Filip Forsberg. So far this season, he has 27 goals, placing him 21st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Forsberg has 30 assists this season.Entering the game, the Ducks' defense ranks 28th in takeaways, averaging 5.8 takeaways per contest. In the NHL, they currently stand at 6th in terms of goals allowed, giving up an average of 3.3 goals per game.Entering the game, goalie Kevin Lankinen has started 11 games this season. His current record stands at 7-4, and his save percentage is 0.402%.<h3>Can The Ducks Secure a Home Victory?</h3>At 20-34-3, the Ducks are 14th in the Western Conference and 7th in the Pacific Division. Over their last ten games, they have gone 4-6, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five games. In their last three games, they have gone 1-2.

At home this season, the Ducks have gone 8-19-1, and they have lost their last two home games. As the underdog, they have gone 18-29-3 this season, and they have been the underdog in 50 of their 57 games.At home this season, the Ducks have a puck line record of 13-15, and their average scoring margin is at -0.9 goals per game. So far, they have 11 wins by just one goal, and their puck line record as the underdog is at 29-21.

Coming into this game, the Ducks have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line at home, and their puck line record for the year is at 30-27. In their last 10 games played at home, the Ducks have a puck line record of just 3-7. For the season, Anaheim's games have finished with an average of 6.2 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.3. Overall, the Ducks have an over/under record of 26-28-3.In their last three road games, Nashville has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 2. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.When looking at their offense, the Ducks have an average of 2.6 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 29th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 28th in the league. Coming into the game, the Ducks have a 4-14 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 15-17.Anaheim's leading goal scorer is Frank Vatrano. So far this season, he has 26 goals, placing him 24th in the NHL. Vatrano also comes into the game with 19 assists.Entering the game, the Ducks' defense ranks 28th in takeaways, averaging 5.8 takeaways per contest. In the NHL, they currently stand at 6th in terms of goals allowed, giving up an average of 3.3 goals per game.Goalie Lukas Dostal gets the start and has made 21 starts this season. His record at this point is 8-14, and his save percentage is 0.701%.

Nashville Predators vs Anaheim Ducks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/25/24

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