Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Racers and Aces. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Aces at Ford Center in Evansville, IN. Get ready to place your bets! This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points, and the Aces are favored to win at home vs. the Racers.


The Pick: Evansville Aces -1.5

This game will be played at Ford Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Aces.
  • Not only will Evansville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Racers?

Heading into today's matchup, Murray State is the underdog with a point spread of +1.5. So far this season, the Racers have an overall record of 5-9 and are currently on a two-game winning streak.

Over their last ten road games, Murray State is just 1-9 and 0-5 on the road this season. In their last game, the Racers defeated UIC by a score of 85-73. So far, Murray State has been the underdog in six of their 14 games this season, going 1-5 in those matchups.

When looking at Murray State's ATS record this season, they are currently 5-8. On the road, they have gone 2-3 vs the spread this year. Over their last 10 road games, the Racers have gone just 3-7 vs the spread. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 3-3 this season and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

On the season, the over/under record in Murray State games is 8-5. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 142.2 and their games have finished with an average of 144.5 points. Today's over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their games have finished with an average of 148 points in those matchups.

Murray State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 85 points against UIC. This output exceeded their season average of 72.5 points per game. Rob Perry is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Jacobi Wood brings a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

On the defensive side, Murray State is currently hovering around the NCAA's average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.3 points per game. The Murray State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed UIC to connect on 7 threes.

Can Evansville Live Up to the Hype at Home?

So far this season, the Evansville Aces have been perfect at home, going 5-0 and winning their last five games at the Ford Center. Overall, they have a record of 10-4 and have been favored in three of their 14 games.

In their last game, the Aces took on Indiana State and lost by a score of 87-73. Over their last 10 games at home, Evansville is 7-3.

As the favorite, Evansville has gone 2-1 against the spread this year and they are 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Aces have an ATS mark of 4-1 this season and they are 6-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Evansville games sits at 6-7. The average scoring total in their games is 151.4 points, which is higher than the average OU line of 147. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points.

The Evansville offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Indiana State. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.7% and connected on 8 threes. Ben Humrichous is leading the team in scoring at 16.6 points per contest. Yacine Toumi has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.3 going into the game.

Evansville's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.1 points per game. So far, the Evansville defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (406th).