The Racers and Bruins are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bruins will host the game at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN. The over/under for this game is set at 146 points, and Belmont is favored by -2 vs. Murray State in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Belmont Bruins -2

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Not only will Belmont pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Racers Offense Score Enough on the Road?

After a 71-43 win over Northern Iowa, the Murray State Racers will look to continue their success on the road. So far this season, the Racers have gone 4-6 on the road, including a 2-1 record in their last three games away from home.

Overall, Murray State is 9-14 this season, with a 6-6 record in Missouri Valley Conference play. As the underdog, the Racers have gone 5-7, and they are currently 3-7 in games where they have been favored.

As the underdog this season, Murray State has an ATS record of 8-4. Their overall ATS record is 10-12. On the road, the Racers have an ATS mark of 7-3 and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Murray State is 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 146 is higher than the average over/under line in Murray State games this season (142.4). So far, their over/under record is 8-14. In their last three games, the average scoring total is just 116 points.

In their recent game, the Racers' offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 70.4 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Rob Perry, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 12.9, while Jacobi Wood also maintains a PPG average of 12.3 leading up to the game.

At present, the Racers' defense is nationally ranked 79th, allowing 67.8 points per game. Murray State's three-point defense is currently 160th in the country at 7.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.8% of their shots vs. Murray State.

Does Belmont Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Belmont is coming off a loss to Missouri State, 87-80. They have lost two straight games and have a record of 12-11 this season. The Bruins are 5-7 in Missouri Valley Conference play and 7-4 in non-conference games.

At home, Belmont is 7-2 this season and has gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. They are 7-1 when favored this season and have been favored in eight games so far.

Belmont's ATS record this season is currently 8-14. At home, they are 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bruins have gone 4-6 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Belmont games is 10-12 and today's line of 146 is similar to the average over/under line in their games of 154.8. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their recent game, the Bruins' offense concluded with 80 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77 points per contest. Offensively, the Bruins hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 79th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 65th in terms of percentage and 69th in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Belmont is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.5 points per game (292nd). Belmont's defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Missouri State offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 87 points.