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There aren’t a whole lot of certainties in sports betting. Variance is everywhere. It’s a big reason why a lot of sports bettors are considered really successful if they can consistently hit at a rate of 55 percent or slightly higher. That being said, there are still some certainties and they come in the form of what is called “public money”.

It sounds like a negative when you hear experts talk about it. There is a certain connotation to it, but public money can be on the winning side as well. What it boils down to is that the public is very consistent. Maybe a better word for it is that the public is predictable. The public is going to bet favorites and overs, especially in primetime games. The public is going to latch on to teams that they can trust. Generally speaking, a lot of these are big market teams or teams that draw a ton of buzz in the mainstream media and have for a while. The “good” teams.

Sometimes, the spreads don’t even matter. The Dallas Cowboys are going to see <strong>public money</strong>. The Alabama Crimson Tide are going to see public money. The Golden State Warriors are going to see public money. The Green Bay Packers. The Pittsburgh Steelers. The Chicago Cubs (now). Sometimes this is also referred to as “square money” being bet by “squares” or “Joe Public”.

It’s not necessarily that these segments of the betting populace are stupid or ill-informed, it’s just that there’s a level of trust with good teams that they will get the job done no matter what. You won’t see public money on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Tennessee Titans, the Arizona Coyotes, or the Texas State Bobcats very often. Public money is also prone to fall in love with short-term streaks or highly-publicized achievements.

A lot of times, you’ll get situations where the game becomes a “Pros vs. Joes” struggle. The sharp players will be on the opposite side and the public will keep betting against them. Some handicappers even talk about the successes that they have had “fading the public”. The public has gotten smarter with the amount of information out there and with how mainstream <strong>sports betting</strong> has become, but the public is still stubborn in some respects. Oddsmakers know this and the lines will reflect this for some of those games with public darlings and those primetime matchups.

Again, public money isn’t always wrong. It’s just wrong more often than <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sports-betting-what-is-sharp-money/"><u><strong>sharp money</strong></u></a>. Take that into consideration if you find yourself on a public side. Sometimes you’ll find yourself on a public and sharp side. Ultimately, it’s up to you to decide. If you like a public side, those win, too. It’s all about having the information that you need and this is part of that process.

Sports Betting: What is Public Money?

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<p>Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Canadiens versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Canadiens.</p><h3>MONTREAL CANADIENS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:</h3><ul><li>Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a  4-3 win.</li><li>Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline</li><li>On the spread, we like Canadiens (+1.5)</li></ul><h3>Does Montreal Have a Shot at a Road Win?</h3><p>Montreal fell to 4-8-2 after a 3-1 road loss to the Penguins. The Canadiens entered the game as underdogs on the puck line and failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 4 fell short of that mark.</p> 

<p>Montreal's only goal came in the third period, cutting the deficit to 2-1 before the Penguins added an empty-netter. Christian Dvorak scored for the Canadiens, who struggled with giveaways, totaling 20 in the game.</p><p>Montreal's offense struggled in their 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh, managing just one goal, which came from Christian Dvorak in the third period. Dvorak's goal was his first of the season, while Emil Heineman picked up his first assist and Juraj Slafkovsky added his seventh.</p> <p>The Canadiens fired 26 shots on goal but were hindered by 20 giveaways. They failed to convert on any power play opportunities.</p><p>Montreal's defense gave up the first two goals of the game, both scored by Sidney Crosby, and a late empty-netter from Blake Lizotte sealed the Canadiens' fate. Sam Montembeault made 21 saves with a 91.3% save percentage, while the defense recorded 4 takeaways and 28 hits.</p><h3>Do the Maple Leafs Stand a Chance at Home?</h3><p>Toronto fell to 8-5-2 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs trailed early before William Nylander tied it up with 19:08 left in the first period. The game stayed even until the Wild scored 2:14 into overtime.</p> 

<p>As underdogs, the Maple Leafs didn’t cover the puck line. The total was set at 6 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that number.</p><p>Toronto's offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to Minnesota. William Nylander scored his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews earning his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner picking up his 12th.</p> <p>The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after Nylander's goal at 19:08 in the first period. They had 10 giveaways in the game.</p><p>Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the 1st period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.</p>

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24

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