Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Grizzlies versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA. Montana is favored by -6.5 in this Big Sky conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 138 points.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +6.5

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Grizzlies Win in Sacramento?

Montana is favored by 6.5 points in this game and has gone 8-3 this season when favored. They have an average scoring margin of -6.5 points per game on the road, where they are 5-5 this season.

Over their last ten road games, Montana has gone 5-5. In their last game, they lost to Portland State by a score of 72-46.

Montana has been a solid bet this season, going 12-5 against the spread. They have been even better vs. the spread when favored, going 8-3. On the road, the Grizzlies are 7-3 vs. the spread and 2-1 in their last 3 road games.

Montana has an over/under record of 8-9 this season and the average scoring total in their games is 146.8 points. Today's over/under line of 138 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their most recent game, the Montana offense concluded with only 46 points against Portland State. Throughout the game, they made 7/21 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 31.4%. Josh Vazquez led the team in scoring, putting up 11 points. Additionally, Brandon Whitney contributed 11 points for the Grizzlies.

On defense, Montana is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Montana's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.8% this season.

Does Sacramento State Stand a Chance at Home?

After a loss to Montana State, Sacramento State will look to snap their three-game losing streak as they enter this game as 6.5-point underdogs. So far this season, the Hornets have gone 6-14, including a 2-5 record in Big Sky play.

At home, Sacramento State has gone 3-5, and over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 5-5. As underdogs this season, the Hornets have gone 2-10, compared to 2-4 when they are the favorites.

As the underdog this season, Sacramento State has a record of 4-7-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is just 2-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hornets have gone 4-5-1.

This season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 8-10 and today's line of 138 is very close to the average over/under line in their games (139.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, which is the same as today's line. In their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 134 points.

In contrast to their season average of 69.4 points per game, the Sacramento State had a below average performance. They scored 62 points against Montana State and had a field goal percentage of 35.8%. Leading Sacramento State in scoring vs. Montana State was Zee Hamoda with his 17 points. Emil Skytta also added 13 points for the Hornets.

So far, the Hornets' defense is ranked 153rd in the country at 71.8 points per contest. Sacramento State's three-point defense is currently 102nd in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Sacramento State.