Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
Alabama is favored by -13.5 points as they host the Missouri Tigers in a week nine matchup on Saturday, October 26th. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET from Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, and the game will be broadcast on ABC. The over/under line is currently at 56.5 points. The Tigers come in with a 6-1 record, while the Crimson Tide are 5-2 on the season.
MISSOURI TIGERS VS ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5
This game will be played at Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE:
- We have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning this one by a score of 39 to 21
- Not only do we have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -13.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 56.5 points
Will The Missouri Tigers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Missouri enters Week 9 with a 6-1 record, facing Alabama on the road. The Tigers are ranked 20th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Southeastern stand at just 0.9%. Missouri has a 15.8% chance of making the playoff, which ranks 22nd in the nation.
Missouri is 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four of their seven games, going 4-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +16.1 points, and they are 3-2 against the spread, with a 3-1 ATS record as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 56.5 points, higher than any of Missouri’s games this season. Their over/under record is 1-4, with an average line of 51 points and an average game total of 47.3 points.
Missouri’s offense is averaging 31.7 points per game, ranking 36th nationally, and they are 55th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. They have been effective on third downs, converting 49.1% of their attempts, which is 12th best in the country. Their passing game is a focal point, with 35.6 attempts per game, ranking 22nd, and they are 18th in completions, averaging 22.7 per game. Overall, they are 48th in passing yards, with 250.1 yards per game, and their completion percentage is 63.9%.
Brady Cook leads the Tigers with 1,545 passing yards and a 63.1% completion rate. He has thrown seven touchdowns and just one interception, with a passer rating of 95. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 503 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. Theo Wease Jr. has 463 receiving yards on 35 catches but has only one touchdown this season.
Missouri’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 15.6 points per game. In their recent game against Auburn, they gave up 17 points, allowing 286 total yards, including 110 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 176 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging 115.7 rushing yards per game and 157.6 passing yards against Missouri, which ranks 15th in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes with a passer rating of 73.8 against Missouri’s defense.
Are The Alabama Crimson Tide Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Alabama enters Week 9 with a 5-2 record, ranked 3rd in our power rankings. They are 4-0 at home but 1-2 on the road this season. The Crimson Tide have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 43.5% chance of making the CFB playoff.
Alabama’s ATS record is 3-4, and they’ve been favored in six of their seven games. Their average scoring margin is +16.9 points, and they are 2-4 against the spread as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 56.5 points. Alabama’s games have averaged 59.4 points, with a 5-2 over/under record and an average line of 54.7 points.
Heading into week 9, Alabama’s offense ranks 19th in points per game, averaging 38.1. However, they sit just outside the top 10 in our offensive power rankings, coming in at 11th. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 1,727 yards and has a passer rating of 109. Alabama ranks 23rd in passer rating nationally.
Milroe has completed 68.5% of his passes, leading Alabama to rank 11th in completion percentage. He has thrown 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Jam Miller leads the rushing attack with 402 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry and scoring five touchdowns. Ryan Williams has 649 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 31 catches.
Alabama’s defense has allowed an average of 21.3 points per game this season, ranking 35th nationally. In their recent game against Tennessee, they gave up 24 points, allowing 414 total yards, including 220 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 194 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 143.4 rushing yards per game and 210.6 passing yards against Alabama, completing 59% of their passes. The defense has faced the 86th most pass attempts in the country and holds a passer rating of 79.4, ranking 42nd nationally.