Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
The Arkansas Razorbacks head into this week nine matchup with a 4-3 record, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs are just 1-6 on the season. Kick-off is set for 12:45 ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, and SECN will be handling the broadcast. Arkansas is favored by -7 points, with the over/under line currently sitting at 58 points. The money line odds are -267 for the Razorbacks and +215 for the Bulldogs.
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7
This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 12:45 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have the Mississippi State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 36 to 25
- Not only do we have the Mississippi State Bulldogs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
- Look for this game to go over the line of 58 points
Will The Arkansas Razorbacks Win As Road Favorites?
Arkansas enters Week 9 against Mississippi State with a 4-3 record, ranked 31st in our power rankings. They have a 77.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the SEC. The Razorbacks are 2-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Arkansas has been favored in just one game this season and holds a +8.4 average scoring margin. Their ATS record is 3-2, going 2-0 on the road and 1-2 at home. As underdogs, they are 3-1 against the spread.
Their over/under record stands at 1-4, with an average total of 51 points per game. The average over/under line is 56.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 58 points.
Arkansas heads into week 9 ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 29.7 points per game. They are also 46th in the nation in scoring. Their third-down conversion rate is impressive, ranking 9th at 52%. The Razorbacks are 25th in passing yards, averaging 278.7 yards per game, and they attempt 34 passes per game.
Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 1,741 yards but has an 81 passer rating with six touchdowns and six interceptions. Arkansas is 89th in passer rating nationally. Leading the rushing attack is Ja’Quinden Jackson with 592 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong leads the receivers with 646 yards on 45 catches.
Arkansas’s defense, ranked 35th nationally, is giving up 21.3 points per game this season. In their recent game against LSU, they allowed 34 points, surrendering 395 total yards, including 160 rushing yards and 235 passing yards, though they didn’t allow a passing touchdown.
Opponents are averaging 114.6 rushing yards per game on 31.1 attempts against Arkansas, while quarterbacks have completed 58.6% of their passes, averaging 217.9 passing yards per game.
Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going Win In At Upset At Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State enters Week 9 with a 1-6 record, facing Arkansas at home. They rank 60th in our power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Bulldogs are 0-3 at home this season.
Against the spread, Mississippi State is 3-3, with a 2-1 record on the road and 1-2 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -5.9 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 58 points. Mississippi State’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with an over/under record of 4-2. Their average line has been 56.8 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 3.6 points.
Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 27.4 points per game as they head into week 9, placing them 58th in our offensive power rankings. They are 40th in passing attempts, averaging 32 per game, and 43rd in passing yards, with 252.3 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 40%, and they are 65th in completion percentage at 60.3%.
Blake Shapen leads the Bulldogs’ passing attack with 974 yards and a passer rating of 117. He has completed 68.5% of his passes, throwing eight touchdowns and one interception. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 536 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 44 catches. On the ground, Mississippi State averages 128.3 rushing yards per game.
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 33.3 points per game. In their recent 34-24 loss to Texas A&M, they gave up 34 points, with 217 passing yards and 137 rushing yards allowed, while forcing two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 195.1 rushing yards per game against Mississippi State, and quarterbacks have posted a 103 passer rating, completing 71.7% of their passes for an average of 257.1 yards per game.