Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Racers? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 139.5 points, and Murray State is favored by -1.5 to win at home against Missouri State.


The Pick: Murray State Racers -1.5

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 1:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Racers.
  • Not only will Murray State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Missouri State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Missouri State comes into this game as the underdog, and they have gone 5-12 in that role this season. Their overall record is 16-15, and they are 8-12 in Missouri Valley Conference games. On the road, the Bears have gone just 4-10 this season, and they have lost their last four games away from home.

In their last game, Missouri State beat UIC by a score of 69-59. On the season, they have gone 8-3 in non-conference games, compared to their 8-12 record in conference action. So far, they have played 31 games, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five road games.

On the season, Missouri State has an ATS record of 15-14-1. On the road, they are 5-8-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Bears have gone 7-9-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Missouri State has a record of 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today's over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Missouri State's games this season (142.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, which is higher than today's over/under line. On the season, their over/under record is 16-14.

In their most recent game, the Bears' offense tallied 69 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72 points per game. Matthew Lee led the scoring for the Bears, contributing 12 points. Additionally, Cesare Edwards chipped in with 12 points.

At present, the Bears' defense is nationally ranked 182nd, allowing 72.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. UIC, the Flames finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 59 points vs. Missouri State.

Will the Racers Find a Way to Win at Home?

After losing their last game to Indiana State by a score of 89-77, Murray State enters this matchup with a record of 12-19. Over their last ten games at home, the Racers have gone 5-5.

On the season, Murray State has been the favorite in 14 games and has gone 6-8 in those matchups. For the year, they have a record of 7-9 when playing at home.

As the favorite, Murray State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 3-11. At home, they are just 4-12 vs. the spread this year and have gone just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Racers are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Murray State games is 14-16. Today's over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.7). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 152 points compared to their season average of 140.8 points per game.

Murray State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 77 points against Indiana State. This output exceeded their season average of 70.9 points per game. Quincy Anderson is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.8 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Jacobi Wood brings a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

The Racers' defense is presently ranked 120th nationally, allowing an average of 70.2 points per contest. So far, the Murray State defense is giving up an average of 7.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9 times per game (366th).