Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Rebels face off at 8:30 ET on SECN. The Rebels are hosting the game at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, MS. The odds for this Southeastern conference game currently have Ole Miss as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.


The Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -1

This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss at 8:30 ET on Tuesday, January 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Rebels.
  • Not only will Ole Miss pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Mississippi State Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Mississippi State enters this game as the underdog, as they have gone 2-2 this season when not favored. The Bulldogs are 14-6 overall and 3-4 in Southeastern Conference play.

On the road, Mississippi State is 4-4 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home. They are coming off a 64-58 win over Auburn, and they have gone 2-3 in their last five road games.

As the underdog, Mississippi State has gone 2-2 vs. the spread this season and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Bulldogs are just 4-6 vs. the spread this year and have gone 0-3 in their last three road games vs. the spread.

Mississippi State's over/under record for the season is 8-11-1, and today's over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (139.2). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 131 points compared to their season average of 140.1 points per game.

In their latest game, Mississippi State offense put up 64 points against Auburn. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.9% and made 5 threes. Josh Hubbard led the scoring for the Bulldogs, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Cameron Matthews chipped in with 14 points.

Currently, the Bulldogs' defense holds the 48th rank in the nation, allowing 66.0 points per game. The Mississippi State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 58 points and allowed Auburn to connect on 5 threes.

Can Ole Miss Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Through 20 games, Ole Miss has been perfect at home, going 13-0. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.5, and they have won 10 straight games at home.

So far this season, Ole Miss has been favored in 14 of their 20 games, going 14-0 as the favorite. For the year, the Rebels are 17-3, including a 4-3 record in Southeastern Conference play. They have won two games in a row, and their last game was a 71-68 victory over Texas A&M.

As the favorite this season, Ole Miss has a record of 8-6 against the spread. At home, the Rebels are 8-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Ole Miss has an ATS mark of 8-2.

This season, the over/under record for Ole Miss games is 11-9 and the average over/under line in their games is 142.2. Today's over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points and the over/under record in their games during this stretch is 0-3.

In their recent matchup, the Ole Miss offense ended with 71 points against Texas A&M. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.7% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Rebels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 176th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 50th in terms of percentage and 185th in three-pointers made.

The Rebels' defense is presently ranked 123rd nationally, allowing an average of 70.1 points per contest. Ole Miss' three-point defense is currently 115th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Ole Miss.