Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24

At 7:07 PM from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have an American League matchup between the Twins and Blue Jays. Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Yusei Kikuchi for the Blue Jays. Coming into Friday’s game, the Twins are 22-15, and the Blue Jays are 17-20.

As for the odds, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Twins are the slight favorite on the money line at -101. This game can be seen on BSN.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -119

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Friday, May 10th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Twins Records & Stats

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with an 11-1 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the top of the first, the Twins responded with five runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another six runs in the 4th inning.

Pablo Lopez put together a good start for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out 10 Mariners batters. Max Kepler was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Minnesota is 22-15 overall and trails the Guardians by 1.5 games in the AL Central. They are 12-7 against other teams in the division and have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games overall. The Twins have been really good as the favorite this year, going 18-7, and they are 10-1 as the favorite on the road. Their overall road record is 11-7.

The Twins have won five straight series, and they are 6-4-2 in series this year. When playing on the road, the Twins have won two straight series. They closed out their series vs. the Mariners with three straight wins.

The Twins have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 20-17. They have been especially good on the road, going 11-7 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game overall, and that number is slightly higher on the road at +0.8 runs per game.

The Twins have been trending towards the over, with their last three games all surpassing the total. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-17. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 4-4 to the over.

Right-hander Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.54. In his 40 2/3 innings of work, Ryan has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Ryan took the loss vs. the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Ryan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01.

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season, as they are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. The Twins have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest.

Ryan Jeffers and Edouard Julien have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Jeffers leading the team with 8 homers and Julien right behind him with 7. Jeffers is also batting .306 for the season and has gone 6/17 with three homers over his last five games. Max Kepler is also on a tear right now, hitting .500 over his last six games, including two homers.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the bottom of the first, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own. Toronto went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Chris Bassitt put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out six Phillies batters. Kevin Kiermaier was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two RBIs.

Toronto is set to host the Twins today with an overall record of 17-20, which has them 5th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 7.5 games for the top spot in the division. Toronto closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a win and are 5-5 in the division this year.

At home, the Blue Jays are 8-7 this season compared to a 9-13 mark on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 13-9 but are just 4-11 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 4-6-2 this year.

Despite a losing record against the run line overall, the Blue Jays have been a good bet at home, where they are 6-9 vs. the run line. They have been especially good vs. the run line as the favorite, going 11-11. The average run differential for the Blue Jays in their wins is +2.9 runs per game, while they are being outscored by an average of -4.6 runs per game in their losses.

When the Blue Jays have played games with an over/under line of 7.5 this season, the over has hit in three of their seven games. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 16-20. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 2.72. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had put together back-to-back starts in which he allowed four earned runs. Kikuchi has pitched well at home, with an ERA of 3.0 compared to 2.68 on the road.

Over the past nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 13/36 (.361) with six RBIs, but he has just one home run during that stretch. Daulton Varsho leads the Blue Jays with six homers this season, but he is batting just .227 for the season. Varsho is also on a streak of three straight games with at least one strikeout.

Justin Turner and Guerrero Jr. are tied for the team lead with 16 RBIs, and both players have four homers this season. Turner has gone just 6/34 in his last eight games, while Guerrero Jr. has been hot, hitting .364 over his last seven games.