New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24
At 6:50 PM from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL East matchup between the Yankees and Rays. Heading into Friday’s game, the Yankees have a record of 25-14, while the Rays are 19-19 overall. New York is sending Clarke Schmidt to the mound vs. Taj Bradley for the Rays.
The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -141, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by YES.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +119
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Friday, May 10th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
New York closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Astros scored three runs in the top of the 9th. The Yankees were the -152 favorite at home going into the game.
Marcus Stroman had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on nine hits and issuing two walks. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Anthony Volpe, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/5.
With an overall record of 25-14, the Yankees are just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Rays, and they are 6-7 in divisional games this year. The Yankees closed out their series vs. the Astros with a win and are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Yankees have gone 13-6 this year, and they have been a solid team on the road as well, going 12-8. As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 18-10 and 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 9-2-1, and they have won two straight series.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs in their victories. They are 19-20 against the run line this season, and their average run margin for the year is +1.4 runs per game. They have been a solid bet on the run line on the road, going 11-9 against the run line away from Yankee Stadium, where they are just 8-11 against the run line.
So far this season, the Yankees have had a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-21. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-8. Overall, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.2% of their games.
Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .252 this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.31. In his 36 innings of work, Schmidt has a strikeouts per nine innings figure of 10.25. The last time he pitched, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work and got the win. Schmidt has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Yankees offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are 3rd in the league in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league.
Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .333 with a league-leading 33 RBIs. Soto also has 9 home runs, which is 4th in the league and tops on the team. Aaron Judge has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/35 in his last 10 games, including three homers.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 4-1 loss. Tampa Bay was the heavy favorite at -267 going into the game but fell behind early, as the White Sox scored two runs in the 4th.
Aaron Civale got the start for the Rays and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. The Rays’ offense scored their only run in the 4th inning and left three men on base. Harold Ramirez was the only Rays’ hitter with more than one hit, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Tampa Bay is hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 19-19, and they trail the Orioles by six games for the AL East lead. So far, they are 3-4 in divisional games. The Rays have been good at home, going 13-10, and they are just under .500 at 6-9 on the road.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 14-15 this year and 5-4 as the underdog. They have been really good as the home underdog, going 3-1 this year. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 5-5-2, and they have won two straight series.
When betting on the run line, the Tampa Bay Rays have been a team to avoid this season. They are 15-23 overall and 9-14 at home. The Rays’ average run margin this season is -0.8 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.5 runs per game on the road.
The Tampa Bay Rays have seen their last two games go under the total, and they have gone under in three of their last four. The Rays’ over/under record for the season is 21-17, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 6-9, and the O/U line for today’s game against the Yankees is set at 8.5 runs.
Taj Bradley is coming off a season in which he made 21 starts and finished with an ERA of 5.59. His record for the year was 5-8, and he finished with just one quality start. In terms of his WHIP, Bradley finished the year at 1.39, and he allowed a total of 23 home runs. Opposing batters hit .254 against him, and his FIP for the season was 4.79. Bradley finished the season with an average of 1.2 strikeouts per inning and 11.09 per nine innings. His average walks per nine innings was 3.35, and he finished the year with an average of 1.7 walks per game.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays offense so far this season, as he is batting .300 and has gone deep a team-high eight times. Paredes also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with six homers but is batting just .147 for the season and has gone just 4/21 in the team’s last six games.
Overall, the Rays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is the 8th best mark in the league, and have the 9th best on-base percentage in the league.