Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24
From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an AL matchup between the Twins and Mariners. First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET, and RSNW will be televising this one.
The money line odds have the Twins at -116 compared to the Mariners at -102, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. Minnesota will be looking to get a win and move up from 3rd in the AL Central, while the Mariners are on a 2 game winning streak and are 1st in the AL West. Saturday’s starting pitching matchup features Pablo Lopez for the Twins and Bryce Miller for the Mariners.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -102
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 10:10 ET on Saturday, June 29th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Seattle picked up a 3-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a late rally, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 10th. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -130 on the money line.
Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Bailey Ober put together a good outing for the Twins, giving up just one earned run across six innings of work.
Josh Rojas was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 2/4 with an RBI. He also scored the game’s final run in the 10th. Carlos Correa had a two-hit game for the Twins, including a home run.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 45-37 overall this season, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, seven games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Mariners.
As the Twins take on the Mariners on the road, they are 22-21 away from home this season. At home, Minnesota has gone 23-16. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 36-20. As the underdog, the Twins are 9-17 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 15-9-2 and have won two straight series.
Minnesota is 38-44 against the run line this season, but they are 23-20 on the road. The Twins have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 25-31 as the favorite.
When the Twins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Mariners. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 39-41. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. Overall, 53 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 64.6% of their games.
Pablo López will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that June 23rd outing vs. the Athletics, he went eight innings and didn’t give up a run. Lopez finished with 14 strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 7-6. Lopez’s ERA for the season is 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.17. For the year, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 10.33 strikeouts per nine innings. This season, he has seven quality starts.
As a team, the Twins are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league. Minnesota’s team batting average of .248 is 11th in the league, and they are also one of the top on-base and slugging teams in the league.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been two of the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana’s 12 homers being 2nd on the team and Jeffers’ 13 leading the club. Jeffers also has a team-high 41 RBIs. Willi Castro comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .277 for the season.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 47-37 overall and leads the AL West by 5.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners are on a two-game winning streak, and they have been excellent against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5 so far. They closed out their last series vs. the Rangers with a win and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mariners are 28-12 this season, and they have gone 19-25 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 30-21. As the underdog, the Mariners are 17-16 this year. Seattle has won four straight at home, and their overall series record is 13-11-2. This year, they have dropped three straight series.
Seattle has a run line record of 40-44 this season, including a 21-19 mark at home. The Mariners have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game overall, with a +0.9 run differential in home games. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog and are 19-14 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-45. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 10-15. 40.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and 29.8% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 3.90. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.04 and opponents are batting .201 off him this season. In his last outing, Miller took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Miller’s ERA on the road is 6.75, compared to 2.0 at home.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers is 1st on the team and 13th in the league. However, he is batting just .201 for the season and has gone 4/22 in his last eight games. Mitch Garver has also struggled of late, going 4/27 in his last eight games and is batting just .175 for the season.
Julio Rodríguez is batting .251 for the season and is 5th on the team with seven homers. He is also 4th on the team with 29 RBIs. J.P. Crawford has gone 8/30 in his last eight games and comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .218.